In fact, every day I reply to many friends' private messages, most of which are asking for my views on certain tokens. For those I have positions in, I share my understanding; for those I don't, there's not much I can do. Especially with $OKB, just two days before OKB's price surge, a friend kept chatting with me. It wasn't about how much they lost, but rather that they had held it for too long, turning it into a stablecoin. They were worried about selling, fearing it would rise later, and worried about not being able to hold on until it did.

This is because the price fluctuations of many tokens may not be due to "consensus," and it's difficult to derive clear results through "analysis." In contrast, U.S. stocks can be judged because they have sufficient fundamental support and performance data to reference. Personally, I believe that about 60% of the recent year's $BTC price movement is due to the benefits from Trump, 30% is due to Bitcoin's consensus attributes, and the remaining 10% may be due to capital demand.

On the other hand, for tokens outside of BTC, except for a few driven by leading companies, it's generally not easy to predict. Therefore, the greatest benefit of trends is not making a lot of money, but rather increasing your time at the table. The longer you survive, the more opportunities will naturally arise.

If a newcomer comes in with $2,000, should I suggest they buy Bitcoin or something else? Indeed, besides BTC, I can offer a few options, but they are not many. BTC is likely still the first choice.

This article is sponsored by #Bitget ｜ @Bitget_zh

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