I looked at the minutes from the Federal Reserve's last meeting, and there wasn't anything particularly important. They still believe that the inflation issue in the U.S. is a higher risk than employment, and there is uncertainty in the economy. There were no expectations set for the September meeting.

In July, there were 11 voting members, with 1 absent. Among them, 9 agreed to keep interest rates unchanged, while only 2 members wanted to cut rates by 25 basis points, namely Waller and Bowman, which aligns with our previous inferences.

In July, only those two were clearly in Trump's camp, and it is uncertain whether that number will increase by September. At the very least, they should aim for six votes to be considered stable. Today, Trump's actions against Cook are likely also aimed at securing votes.

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