Tracking real-time hotspots in the cryptocurrency market and seizing the best trading opportunities, today is Thursday, August 21, 2025, I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, crypto friends! ☀️ Die-hard fans check in 👍 Like for big profits 🍗🍗🌹🌹

【1. U.S. Stock Market Dynamics and Macroeconomic Policy Impact】

The U.S. stock market closed on Wednesday with a complex situation. The Dow Jones slightly rose, while the S&P 500 index fell by 0.24%, and the Nasdaq dropped by 0.67%. Among them, Tesla (TSLA.O) fell by 1.6%, and Intel (INTC.O) dropped by 6.99%.

Regarding interest rate policy, according to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 18.1%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 81.9%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in October is 8%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 46.4% and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 45.5%. The latest released minutes from July show that most Federal Reserve officials believe the threat of persistent inflation exceeds the risks posed by a weak labor market. At the same time, uncertainty in tariff policy is exacerbating divisions within the FOMC.

The market is currently closely watching Powell's upcoming statements at the Jackson Hole annual meeting. In such a volatile market, following Yibo can help you grasp real-time market dynamics and seize opportunities.

【2. Bitcoin Market Analysis】

Bitcoin was under pressure yesterday, fluctuating below 114,000 during the day. After a sharp drop to 112,315 in the evening session, it quickly rebounded, completing a strong recovery at midnight, and the current price is maintaining a high-level fluctuation. The bullish momentum has been somewhat released, with the price reaching a high of 114,570.

Currently, the overall market is leaning towards strength, still in a rebound and repair rhythm, and is in a phase of oscillation and repair. Any pullback can only be seen as a correction rather than a breakdown. Although the unilateral momentum is not particularly strong at the moment, the support below is gradually becoming clear. Despite the daily chart previously breaking through a key position, there is still some adjustment space below based on the current pattern. The focus is on the choice of stabilization position—whether it will complete a strong recovery or turn into a downward trend will be a key observation point moving forward.

The small cycle shows weakness in high-level pullbacks. In the morning, it is suggested to follow the long position in the short term and observe the sustainability of the rebound and repair, and then consider whether to lay out a swing long position based on the strength.

【3. Ethereum Market Analysis】

Ethereum started rebounding from a low of 4061 yesterday morning, reaching a high of 4240 in the afternoon before pulling back. In the evening session, influenced by the U.S. stock market, it experienced a rapid pullback, dropping to a low of 4104 before rebounding. As of now, it has risen to a high of 4375 but is under slight pressure for a pullback correction. The four-hour cycle is still oscillating within the lower Bollinger band.

After a doji candle, there was a bullish candle rise, but the bullish candle has a significant upper shadow, indicating that selling pressure above has not eased; the bullish rebound has repeatedly encountered resistance at the middle Bollinger band, and the previous downward trend has not been reversed, making the rebound a routine correction. However, based on the current pattern, there is still some adjustment space below, with the focus on the choice of stabilization position—whether it will complete a strong recovery or turn into a downward trend will be a key observation point moving forward.

The small cycle shows weakness in high-level pullbacks. In the morning, it is suggested to follow the long position in the short term and observe the sustainability of the rebound and repair, and then consider whether to lay out a swing long position based on the strength.

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If you are feeling lost—don’t understand the technology, don’t know how to read the market, unsure when to enter, don’t know how to set stop losses, don’t understand take profits, randomly increasing positions, getting stuck at the bottom, unable to hold onto profits, missing market opportunities… these are common problems for retail investors. But don’t worry, I can help you establish the correct trading mindset. A single profitable trade speaks louder than a thousand words; finding the right direction is better than repeatedly facing defeats. Instead of frequent operations, it’s better to strike precisely, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. The market changes rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, subsequent trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to moving steadily forward in the market with you.

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