Tracking real-time hotspots in the cryptocurrency market and seizing the best trading opportunities. Today is Friday, August 22, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, crypto friends! ☀️ Die-hard fans check in! 👍 Like to make big profits! 🍗🍗🌹🌹

【1. Global Financial Market Dynamics】

U.S. stocks closed lower on Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.34%, the S&P 500 down 0.4%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.34%. Walmart (WMT.N) fell over 4%, and Tesla (TSLA.O) dropped 1%.

According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 25%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 75%. The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in October is 13.3%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut at 51.5% and a 50 basis point cut at 35.3%. The market is closely watching Powell's upcoming statements at the Jackson Hole annual meeting. The global central bank annual meeting, hosted by the Kansas City Fed, will kick off this Thursday evening in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Fed Chair Powell is confirmed to speak at this event at 10 PM Beijing time on Friday. This is almost certainly Powell's last appearance at the Jackson Hole meeting as Fed Chair, and his biggest challenge is how to convey a relatively clear monetary policy outlook, as there is currently serious disagreement within the FOMC regarding the next interest rate adjustment. In such a volatile market, pay attention to Yibo to grasp real-time market dynamics and seize opportunities.

【2. Bitcoin Market Analysis】

Bitcoin surged to 114,789 in the early morning yesterday but fell back under pressure, later retreating to around 112,912, where it experienced a slight rebound to 113,937 before facing downward pressure again, dropping to a low of 111,958 before rebounding. It is currently trading around 112,600. The overall market is still moving too slowly, with no clear trend, and both bulls and bears are engaged in a tug-of-war, leading to frequent turnover and increased uncertainty in short-term movements.

The overall structure shows weak rebound momentum and a gradual downward shift in focus. A clear local top has formed around 113,900, and the 4-hour moving average system is in a bearish arrangement, continuing to exert pressure. Coupled with a volume-price divergence pattern of increased volume during pullbacks and decreased volume during rebounds, it indicates that bearish momentum is dominant, with a short-term bearish structure. Key support to watch below is around 112,000; if this level is effectively broken, it will become the starting point for a new round of declines. Conversely, if it stabilizes and rebounds, there remains a possibility for prices to test resistance again. Historically, during the continuous decline of bears, there have always been accompanying rebounds, and each bullish rebound provides momentum for bears, leading to further breakdowns!

【3. Ethereum Market Analysis】

Ethereum retreated after reaching a high of 4,375 in the early morning yesterday, continuing a downward trend throughout the day, testing a low of 4,202 before rebounding to around 4,250. Observing from the 4-hour level, the market shows a pattern of five consecutive bearish candles, with the bearish trend particularly pronounced. Each wave of decline has been effectively extended, with price trends continuously moving downward. Bearish forces are persistently testing the support capacity of the lower boundary, creating continuous downward pressure on the market, which strengthens the short-term bearish continuation. The overall market is dominated by bears, and the short-term downward trend has not stopped, so one can consider shorting during rebounds.

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If you are feeling lost—don’t understand the technology, can’t read the charts, don’t know when to enter the market, don’t know how to set stop losses, don’t understand take profits, randomly increase positions, get stuck while trying to catch the bottom, can’t hold onto profits, or miss out on market movements… these are common issues for retail investors. But don’t worry, I can help you establish the right trading mindset. A single profitable trade speaks louder than a thousand words; finding the right direction is better than repeatedly failing. Instead of frequent operations, it’s better to strike accurately, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. The market changes rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, subsequent trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to moving steadily forward in the market with you.

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