Crypto Circle Morning Report (8.28): U.S. stocks set the pace, the crypto circle takes a breather, keep a close eye on the boundaries in this wave of market trends to avoid getting lost!

CN
13 hours ago

Good morning, crypto friends ☀️! On Thursday, August 28, 2025, I am Wang Yibo ~ die-hard fans, let’s check in, and for those who like this post, today is guaranteed to bring you good fortune, plenty of chicken legs, and roses delivered until your hands are sore 🍗🌹! Without further ado, let’s directly review the “exciting drama” from yesterday’s U.S. stock market and the crypto world!

【U.S. Stock Market: Three Major Indices “Tread Lightly,” Individual Stocks Have Their Ups and Downs】

Wednesday’s U.S. stock market was quite “gentle,” with the three major indices not making any big moves, all showing a “slow and steady” rise — the Dow Jones rose by 0.3%, the S&P 500 increased by 0.24%, and the Nasdaq climbed by 0.2%. It resembled a worker who hasn’t fully woken up but insists on going to work; the mood isn’t exactly boiling, but it hasn’t fallen apart either, overall reflecting a “cautiously optimistic” sentiment in the market.

However, individual stocks experienced a bit of a “mixed bag”:

• The chip industry “big brother” Nvidia (NVDA.O) quietly dipped a bit, likely due to industry supply and demand “adjustments,” coupled with fluctuating expectations for its performance, creating a bit of confusion;

• Internet brokerage Robinhood (HOOD.O) fared much worse, plummeting by 5.4%, resembling a student who didn’t do well on an exam — its operational data fell short, and competitors are constantly “pressuring” it, making it quite tough to handle.

【Federal Reserve: Easing Signals “Loud and Clear,” Future Trends Depend on This Rhythm】

When it comes to what the market is most concerned about right now, it must be the Federal Reserve’s “action forecast”! According to CME’s “FedWatch” data, these easing signals are clearer than the music for a square dance:

• The probability of maintaining interest rates in September is only 11.3%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is as high as 88.7%, almost a “done deal” for easing;

• October is even more aggressive, with the probability of maintaining rates at just 5.5%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut at 49%, and a 50 basis point cut at 45.5%, essentially telling the market “the easing isn’t over yet.”

This wave of policy direction will significantly impact various sectors of the U.S. stock market. The market is currently at a crossroads of “opportunity and risk,” and without some professional interpretation, it’s easy to get confused. Fortunately, with Yibo around, the professional team is monitoring the market in real-time, whether it’s the slightest movement in the U.S. stock market or small fluctuations in the crypto market, helping you grasp the pulse and seize opportunities steadily ~

【Bitcoin: Rebound “Stumbles Midway,” Multi-Cycle Signals Suggest “Take a Break”】

Now looking at our “old acquaintance” Bitcoin, yesterday’s performance can be described as “a strong start but a weak finish”: in the afternoon, it surged from a low of 110,303 to a high of 112,564, but before everyone could cheer, the bulls suddenly “lost strength,” turning back down, with a difference of over 2,000 points between the high and low, resembling an athlete who suddenly gets a cramp halfway through a run.

From a technical perspective, the signals of “stagnation” are quite clear:

• Four-hour cycle: The bulls’ “energy bar” is nearing the bottom, the trend is quite bumpy, and the price is revolving around the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, which is a “key checkpoint.” The winner between bulls and bears will directly affect the subsequent direction;

• Hourly level: Although there have been several consecutive bullish candles, and it even touched the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, the size of the bullish candle bodies is getting smaller, like shrinking noodles. The willingness to chase the rise is lower than getting out of bed in winter, and the trading volume is also decreasing, clearly indicating “it can’t hold on.”

Therefore, Bitcoin’s rebound is likely to need to “take a break.” Moving forward, don’t rush in impulsively; keep a close eye on the middle band resistance and changes in trading volume, and wait for the trend to clarify before taking action!

【Ethereum: Closely Following Bitcoin “Copying Homework,” Bulls “Conserve Energy” for the Right Moment】

Ethereum yesterday was practically Bitcoin’s “little follower,” with its movement almost a copy-paste: in the afternoon, it climbed from a low of 4,550 to a high of 4,662, but upon hitting resistance, it “backed down,” dropping to 4,480 in the early morning. Fortunately, it later rebounded to 4,530, stabilizing its position.

This movement directly indicates that Ethereum’s bulls are also “conserving energy,” not planning to push hard — in the short term, it will mainly be about fluctuations, so don’t expect it to “fly to the sky” all at once.

【Operational Advice: Don’t Be a “Hothead” Charging Blindly, Keep an Eye on Boundaries for Signals】

Whether in the U.S. stock market or the crypto world, now is not the time for “charging in aggressively.” Before taking action, everyone should take a good look at support and resistance levels, and wait for the trend to become clear before acting. Don’t fumble around in a fluctuating market — after all, we invest to make big money, not to “give away our heads” to the market, right?

If there are any new developments, Yibo will synchronize with everyone at the first opportunity, so remember to keep following ~

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If you are feeling lost — not understanding the technology, not knowing how to read the market, unsure when to enter, not knowing how to set stop losses, not understanding take profits, randomly increasing positions, getting stuck while trying to bottom fish, unable to hold onto profits, missing out on market movements… these are common issues for retail investors. But don’t worry, I can help you establish the right trading mindset. A single profitable trade speaks louder than a thousand words, and finding the right direction is better than repeatedly facing losses. Instead of frequent operations, it’s better to strike precisely, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. The market changes rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, future trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to steadily moving forward with you in the market.

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