Original | Odaily Planet Daily (@OdailyChina)
Author | CryptoLeo (@LeoAndCrypto)
This article is a continuation of “2025 New Prediction Market Comprehensive Review (Part 1)”, selecting ten new prediction market projects, with the selection criteria still being “early potential projects that can make money”.
PredictBase (Cashback on Bets)
Introduction: PredictBase is a decentralized prediction market on the Base network, where users can create predictions based on real events and bet using USDC. PredictBase is permissionless, transparent, and community-driven, with operations completed by smart contracts.
How to Participate: PredictBase is a classic type of prediction market, covering sports, entertainment, crypto, finance, and more. Users just need to connect their wallets and place bets. The PredictBase token has been launched on Base, with the token ticker PREDI, currently priced at $0.011. It has introduced a reward mechanism where users receive 1 PREDI airdrop for every $1 bet.
Additionally, PredictBase has launched sports rewards, distributing corresponding PREDI rewards to the top ten users ranked by their weekly betting amounts. Since it is still in the early stages with few users, getting on the leaderboard is not difficult.
Billy Bets (AI Agent Betting)
Introduction: Billy Bets is an AI agent for sports prediction markets, focusing on analysis and betting in basketball, football, and baseball. It allows users to set strategies for automatic betting on prediction platforms (Polymarket, Kalshi) and is currently in beta. It previously announced the completion of $1 million in funding, with investors including Coinbase Ventures and Virtuals Ventures.
How to Participate: The beta version currently integrates Kalshi (with Polymarket and other prediction market betting features coming soon). Users need to set up a Kalshi account, fund their account, and set the Kalshi API key in the Billy platform settings. They can then create strategies, using the BCS (Billy Confidence Score) to filter for events with higher scores, select preferred odds/price ranges, set profit-taking thresholds, and participate in predictions for NFL, NCAA, MLB, and other sports events on Kalshi.
Billy Bets has launched a rewards system (based on trading volume and referral mechanisms) and recently introduced a points reward system that tracks users' betting amounts and platform referrals, incorporating this data into the points reward program. Currently, its token BILLY is priced at $0.0043, with a market cap of $6.4 million.
Touchmarket (Nested Doll Strategy)
Introduction: Touchmarket is a social prediction market based on Monad (currently in testnet), similar to options trading but allows for any time setting. It mainly predicts cryptocurrency prices, with returns featuring a leverage effect of 50x to 1000x, currently including price predictions for ETH, BNB, SOL, SUI, and XRP.
How to Participate: Users can connect their X account to authorize access to the official website, automatically receiving $1,000 in starting capital, setting time intervals, and entering opening costs (with isolated margin, other funds will not be liquidated). Users with the highest daily profit rankings can receive tMON test tokens (500 pieces) for Monad interaction.
PredictEX (Leverage Odds)
Introduction: PredictEX is a social prediction protocol focused on sports, currently in beta. Unlike Touchmarket, PredictEX allows users to adjust the leverage for participating in prediction events. It includes sports segments like MLB, NBA, and NFL, but updates are slow, currently only featuring the MLB segment.
How to Participate: Users can log in via email, and after logging in, they can add ERC, SOL, and AVAX addresses to receive $1,000 in starting capital (available every 24 hours) and participate in match predictions. A points and ranking system will be introduced in the future. The website may experience some lag, but users can initially choose not to add any wallet addresses, requiring only a new email registration, which is cost-free and risk-free for interaction.
Vortx HL (Gameplay)
Introduction: Vortx HL is a prediction market based on Hyperliquid, currently with few participants. Users can make prediction trades with a deposit of 0 USDT, receiving one Yes and one No token for every 1 USDT deposited, after which they can trade.
How to Participate:
Create Prediction Events: The standard is 50 USDT VORTX tokens and 100 USDT, with a return of 0.1% of the total trading volume of the prediction event (topics with high discussion and trading volume have an advantage).
Participate in Prediction Events: Besides purchasing YES and NO from others' prediction events, Vortx HL offers a more interesting gameplay where users can provide liquidity. After depositing, they can create limit sell orders for their YES and NO tokens at prices lower than the market price. Limit orders can enjoy a 0.15% market rebate, and upon completion, will automatically settle to the creator in the form of USDT.
Profit and Loss Scenarios (Reverse Betting): By depositing 100 USDT, users can place limit orders (for example, if the market price is $0.8 for a YES token, you place an order at $0.75; if the market price is $0.4 for a NO token, you place an order at $0.35). If a user buys your YES token below the market price and trades the prediction event, you will receive cash below the market price.
- If that user predicts successfully (YES), you lose $25 (100-75);
- If that user predicts unsuccessfully (meaning their prediction event wins as NO), your profit is the NO token (100 USDT minus 2% fee) + $75 cash, totaling $173.
- If the user buys all YES and NO tokens (75+35 USDT), you will receive $110, making a profit of $10.
Additionally, users can purchase the official token VORTX and stake it to earn rewards. Currently, VORTX is priced at $0.00022, with a staking threshold of at least 10,000 tokens ($2.2).
Buzzing (Big Background, Big Vision)
Introduction: Buzzing is a personalized social prediction market supported by Blended Builders, the team officially endorsed by the L2 network Fluent. Buzzing combines prediction markets and social media, allowing users to create, share, and trade prediction events with one click on social media. By integrating AI, the platform can automatically generate clear, precise, and fair market rules. The official statement indicates that Web 3 social lacks a good prediction protocol, and Buzzing aims to lead the revival of Web 3 social (aspiring to become the social version of Polymarket?).
Its co-founder DeFiGuyLuke (@DeFiGuyLuke) has previously worked at Cobo, Alibaba, and Kwai.
How to Participate: Buzzing is currently in early testing and has not fully launched yet, so stay tuned for updates.
Signals (Testnet, Can Interact)
Introduction: Siginals is a prediction market specifically designed for Bitcoin prices on the BTC L2 network Citrea, now live on the Citrea testnet. It is the first Bitcoin price prediction market launched on Citrea Testnet, similar to the Upside mentioned in the previous article, allowing users to predict Bitcoin prices within a betting range.
How to Participate: Log in to the official website, connect your wallet to receive 100 SUSD, and you can also join the Discord to receive an additional 1000 SUSD. You can then participate in daily price predictions, adjusting your prediction range based on a $100 benchmark. The website will display the profit amount after a successful prediction, with smaller ranges yielding higher profits. The official statement clearly indicates that rewards will be available after the beta ends.
Note: You need Citrea testnet cBTC as gas fees. The Siginals official website provides a one-click access to the cBTC faucet interface, which can be verified via X or Discord. After a successful bet, you can see your position, and users can close their positions at any time before the settlement time.
Flashduels (Predictive Stock-like, Alliance-based)
Introduction: Flashduels is a decentralized prediction market platform built by the Filament team, and it is a subproject of Filament in the prediction market field. It focuses on sports and cultural events, positioning itself as the "Roblox of prediction markets" (leaning more towards social gameplay compared to other social prediction market projects). It allows users to create, participate in, and own custom prediction market alliances, attracting users to join for compounding rewards. Unlike one-time bets, Flashduels is designed as a long-term "conviction market," similar to stocks but targeting sports seasons, leagues, or trends. Additionally, Flashduels incorporates social and gaming elements, such as real-time chat, leaderboards, custom avatars, and personalized usernames.
How to Participate: Register via email and automatically receive $1000 USDC in starting capital. You can fill out your information to apply to become a Curator and customize the creation of prediction markets, including event performance, player statistics, match win/loss predictions, and short-term event predictions. After successful creation, you can share on social platforms to invite other users to join. Additionally, you can buy players (monetizing long-term player performance), similar to stocks for profit. Currently, the Alpha version only includes these features, and you can register to become an early active user, looking forward to version updates.
PNP Exchange (Creator Revenue Sharing and Token Rewards)
Introduction: PNP is a decentralized prediction market on Solana, divided into segments such as sports, politics, and crypto, with a significant focus on the crypto segment (predicting token prices and market caps). Users can create and participate in prediction markets, with creators earning 50% of all transaction fees, which can be withdrawn at any time. The project token is PNP, currently valued at approximately $1.5 million. PNP has also launched a creation competition, where creators ranking in the top 30 by trading volume before October 5 will receive PNP token rewards.
How to Participate: Participating in and creating predictions is simple; connect your wallet, fill out the relevant questions, and provide initial liquidity.
PolyFund (Investment Predictions and Prediction Rebates)
Introduction: PolyFund is a prediction market fund project based on the Polygon network, built on Polymarket, with all markets and outcomes secured through Polymarket infrastructure. The prediction market fund project is a high-risk form of investment management, divided into two categories:
- Investment Fund Managers: If you don't have much time to research prediction events, you can choose a fund manager with a high win rate/accurate predictions and buy into their fund (fund managers are not allowed to directly withdraw your investment funds but can trade on the prediction market). The fund manager will use the invested money to trade on Polymarket, and after the predictions conclude, if profits are realized, you can withdraw your principal and corresponding dividends. Note that:
Each fund manager can set a deposit fee rate (up to 3%), meaning that some deposit fees will be deducted from your USDC when buying into the fund;
When the fund manager generates profits from participating in the prediction market, the protocol retains up to 30% (which can be set by the manager) of the profits for the fund manager;
- Become a Fund Manager: If you are confident in your prediction skills and participate more in predictions, the higher your prediction profitability, the more you can promote your prediction achievements, thus becoming the fund manager mentioned above.
How to Participate: To participate in investing with a fund manager, you need to understand the fund manager's historical performance, expertise, and operational model, and choose your preferred investment. Creating a fund requires providing a fund ticker, description (previous prediction win rate), deposit fee, and profit share, after which you can promote yourself. If you have a high win rate and profitability in a certain segment on Polymarket, a 30% commission is still quite attractive.
Conclusion
Previously, Vitalik mentioned in an article that prediction markets are far more important than we see, being a more popular field pioneer with potential applications in social, scientific, news, and other areas. For certain events, the trends of some prediction events can be faster and more accurate than news media.
For the crypto industry, the biggest existing problem with prediction markets is insufficient liquidity; even the liquidity on Polymarket and Kalshi is not enough to support the trading scale of traders. For retail investors, there is a lack of sufficiently promising prediction events; the upside potential of binary markets is ultimately limited, and most markets on Polymarket and Kalshi typically exhibit low volatility, making them unattractive to retail investors due to low profitability.
From the projects recommended this time, we can see a shift from the previously simple binary prediction methods for events to current trend predictions, AI agent predictions, leverage effect predictions, prediction funds, and prediction position lending, spanning from the Base network to SOL, Hype, and even Monad and the BTC L2 testnet. The updates and developments in prediction markets are actually quite rapid, and they are working hard to address issues such as liquidity, prediction gameplay, and wealth effects.
Pessimistically, the projects covered in these two issues may not all "cross cycles," but those who experience them early are already at the forefront. Niche markets may gain mainstream visibility due to global events like the "U.S. elections and the Israel-Palestine conflict," potentially leading to widespread adoption due to the emergence of various updated projects.
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