Tracking real-time hotspots in the cryptocurrency market and seizing the best trading opportunities, today is Friday, September 12, 2025, I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, crypto friends! ☀️ Die-hard fans check in 👍 Like to make big money 🍗🍗🌹🌹
【Analysis of the Linkage Between Macroeconomics and the Crypto Market】
The release of the U.S. CPI data for August has become a key event in the recent macroeconomic landscape, with its performance largely in line with market expectations, significantly reinforcing the anticipation of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week. This expectation directly impacted the U.S. stock market, pushing the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite Index up by 0.43%, 0.27%, and 0.37% respectively, with all three indices reaching new closing highs, and most large tech stocks also showing an upward trend.
It is noteworthy that the current cryptocurrency market has shown a clear decoupling from the U.S. stock market trends, exhibiting characteristics of a lagging response. This phenomenon is not coincidental; it reflects the increasing independence of the crypto market, with its price fluctuations being more influenced by internal industry factors and the pace at which market participants digest macro policies. As the Federal Reserve's monetary policy approaches a critical adjustment point, this decoupling state may persist for some time, and investors need to closely monitor the actual implementation of macro policies and the subsequent interpretations and reactions of the crypto market.
【In-Depth Analysis of the Bitcoin Market】
(1) Recent Price Trends and Key Level Breakthroughs
After successfully breaking through the key level of 113,500 the day before yesterday, Bitcoin did not experience a significant pullback but instead steadily held that position and entered a consolidation phase, currently climbing to a high of 115,300, with market bullish sentiment continuing to heat up. This breakthrough has important technical significance, marking Bitcoin's escape from the previous consolidation range and the beginning of a new upward journey.
(2) Impact of CPI Data and Intrinsic Market Trends
During the release of the U.S. CPI data yesterday, Bitcoin only experienced a slight fluctuation of about a thousand points before quickly returning to a stable trend. This performance fully demonstrates the strong intrinsic trend force in the current Bitcoin market, with short-term data having relatively limited interference on its overall trajectory. From a market pattern perspective, a clear trend reversal has occurred, with high points continuously being broken, and each round of pullback seems more like energy accumulation for the next breakout rather than a signal of trend reversal.
(3) Short-Term Trend Predictions and Key Levels
In the short term, the main resistance level for Bitcoin is around 117,500, which will become the next important target for market bulls. Observing recent trends, Bitcoin exhibits a typical characteristic of "small downs and large ups," with each round of pullback being extremely limited, showcasing the bullish momentum vividly. On one hand, this reflects the stability of bullish forces, with buying actively intervening during pullbacks; on the other hand, it greatly enhances market confidence in the continued upward movement of subsequent trends. It is expected that after breaking through the resistance level of 117,500, Bitcoin is likely to advance to a higher price range.
【Professional Interpretation of the Ethereum Market】
(1) Recent Price Fluctuations and Bull-Bear Struggles
Recent price fluctuations in Ethereum fully showcase the fierce struggle between bulls and bears. Yesterday morning, Ethereum began to rebound from a low of 4,298, with market sentiment warming up; during the evening session, influenced by news, the price surged to around 4,485 but then retraced, dipping to a low of 4,350 before rebounding above 4,420 and entering a phase of consolidation; as of now, Ethereum's price is at 4,465, continuing its rebound trend, showing overall signs of gradual recovery.
(2) Trend Judgments and Trading Strategy Recommendations
From the current market situation, Ethereum's previous adjustments have been relatively sufficient, clearing out some profit-taking and unstable positions, and it has now entered a short-term recovery mode. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended that investors focus on key support levels and consider positioning long orders when the price retests around 4,420, targeting above 4,500, with 4,350 as a defensive line, leveraging this recovery trend to seize rebound opportunities.
It is particularly important to note that the current market rhythm may still be accompanied by repeated whipsaws at high levels. From a movement perspective, Ethereum is likely to make a new high before experiencing a pullback, which places higher demands on investors' real-time response capabilities. Therefore, during operations, it is necessary to arrange based on specific patterns; if a surge occurs, short positions can be combined to better adapt to market fluctuations and achieve a balance between risk and reward.
【Summary and Investment Insights】
In summary, the current cryptocurrency market is showing an overall positive development trend, with Bitcoin leading the way upward and Ethereum entering a recovery phase. However, the market environment remains complex, and the uncertainties of macro policies and the inherent volatility of the crypto market require investors to maintain a high level of vigilance.
In the investment process, investors should abandon a singular mindset and flexibly adjust strategies based on market dynamics. For Bitcoin, focus on the breakthrough of the 117,500 resistance level and act accordingly; for Ethereum, grasp the rhythm during the recovery process, making reasonable layouts near key support and resistance levels. At the same time, closely monitor changes in macroeconomic policies and significant developments in the crypto industry to respond promptly to market changes and seize investment opportunities in a complex market environment.
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If you are feeling lost—don’t understand the technology, can’t read the charts, don’t know when to enter the market, don’t know how to set stop losses, don’t understand take profits, randomly increase positions, get stuck at the bottom, can’t hold onto profits, miss market opportunities… these are common issues for retail investors. But don’t worry, I can help you establish the correct trading mindset. A single profitable trade speaks louder than a thousand words; finding the right direction is better than repeated failures. Instead of frequent operations, it’s better to strike precisely, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code below the article to follow my public account. The market changes rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, subsequent trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to steadily moving forward with you in the market.
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