Tracking real-time hotspots in the cryptocurrency market and seizing the best trading opportunities. Today is Tuesday, September 16, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all crypto friends ☀️ Hardcore fans check in 👍 Like to make big money 🍗🍗🌹🌹

I. Macroeconomic Market Dynamics

U.S. stocks closed positively on Monday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average initially rose by 0.1%, the S&P 500 index increased by 0.47%, and the Nasdaq rose by 0.94%, with the latter two continuing to set closing records. Tech stocks performed well, with Tesla (TSLA.O) up 3.5% and Google (GOOG.O) up 4.4%, although Nvidia (NVDA.O) saw a slight decline.

From the perspective of macro monetary policy, according to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points this week is 95.9%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 4.1%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut in October is 23.1%, a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 73.8%, and a cumulative 75 basis point cut is 3.1%. The expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve are clear; however, the extent and pace of the cuts have become the focus of the market. In this macro context, the cryptocurrency market will also be affected to some extent. Any fluctuations in the macro economy could trigger a chain reaction in the crypto market. It is essential to focus on these macro dynamics and pay attention to Yibo to grasp real-time information, respond to market changes, and seek investment opportunities.

II. Bitcoin Market Analysis

Bitcoin found support around 114,500 and made a slight upward move, but bullish momentum is clearly weak. It encountered strong resistance at the 115,500 level and failed to break through effectively. The price then retreated to 115,200, clearly indicating heavy selling pressure above. The current brief rebound appears more like a technical correction rather than a trend reversal.

From a technical perspective, in the smaller time frames, Bitcoin has formed a potential bearish structure. Its rebound highs are gradually decreasing, which is a clear sign of weakness. In terms of short-term trends, the market is likely to continue with a pattern of oscillation and correction. Only after confirming the stability of the support level below will the rebound momentum gradually be released. If Bitcoin subsequently breaks below the key intraday support at 114,500, the situation may become severe, potentially opening up greater downside space, with the next target looking towards the 113,800 - 114,000 area. Therefore, investors holding Bitcoin need to closely monitor the gains and losses at this critical level of 114,500 to adjust their investment strategies in a timely manner.

III. Ethereum Market Analysis

Ethereum is also showing a weak rebound pattern. After stabilizing at a low of 4,465, the morning surge halted near 4,528, failing to further challenge the previous high. The price has now retreated to around 4,500, indicating insufficient bullish confidence, with each rebound weaker than the last. Recently, Ethereum's candlestick patterns have mostly alternated between small bearish and bullish candles, indicating a lack of clear upward momentum in the market, with an overall oscillation and correction pattern.

From a technical indicator perspective, Ethereum's current price is below the middle band, showing signs of short-term pressure, and there is a possibility of testing the lower band support downwards. If Ethereum loses the 4,450 support level, the speed of decline may accelerate, potentially plunging to the 4,350 range. For Ethereum investors, the defense of the 4,450 support level is crucial, as it will determine the price direction of Ethereum in the short term.

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If you are feeling lost—don’t understand the technology, can’t read the charts, don’t know when to enter the market, don’t know how to set stop losses, don’t understand take profits, randomly increase positions, get stuck while trying to buy the dip, can’t hold onto profits, or miss out on market movements… these are common issues for retail investors. But don’t worry, I can help you establish the right trading mindset. A single profitable trade speaks louder than a thousand words; finding the right direction is better than repeatedly facing losses. Instead of frequent operations, it’s better to strike accurately, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. Market conditions change rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, subsequent trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to progressing steadily with you in the market.

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