The daily chart paints a picture that only a bear could love. Bitcoin attempted a heroic bounce from the $103,530 trough, only to be swiftly ejected near the $114,000 zone, where resistance made itself known like an unwanted guest.

With volume swelling on red candles, the sell-side isn’t just nudging the door—it’s kicking it open. The red engulfing candle from November 2–3 spells trouble, adding weight to a bearish narrative already gaining traction.

BTC/USD 1-day chart via Bitstamp on Nov. 3, 2025.

Zooming into the 4-hour chart, the tale of lower highs and lower lows continues its soap opera. After breaking down from sideways consolidation, bitcoin clawed its way into a meek bounce, but the volume told the truth—enthusiasm was nowhere to be found. A short-lived rally toward the $110,000–$110,800 range may prove nothing more than a setup for trend continuation to the downside. Unless bitcoin starts closing above $108,000 with something resembling conviction, it’s a case of “nice try, bulls.”

BTC/USD 4-hour chart via Bitstamp on Nov. 3, 2025.

On the 1-hour chart, the trend is as clear as a blockchain ledger—downward and not shy about it. While a modest bounce teased intraday traders near $107,000, it’s more of a limp than a leap. Short setups become attractive if bitcoin stalls near the $109,000–$110,000 range, with potential downside probing the $106,000 level or even fresh lows if volume comes along for the ride.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart via Bitstamp on Nov. 3, 2025.

The oscillators are collectively sipping tea and watching the drama unfold. The relative strength index (RSI) is parked at 41, signaling neutrality, while the stochastic oscillator lounges at 33. The commodity channel index (CCI) is drifting at -67, and the average directional index (ADX) shows a weak trend at 17. Even the awesome oscillator, clocking in at -4,257, seems undecided, though momentum and the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) both point to downside pressure, registering -3,214 and -1,171, respectively.

Meanwhile, the moving averages couldn’t be more unanimous if they tried—all shouting the same message in 200-day unison. Every key exponential moving average (EMA) and simple moving average (SMA) from 10 to 200 days sits above the current price action, each confirming the prevailing trend: downward. With the 200-day EMA at $108,409 and the SMA at $109,876, bitcoin is failing to sustain even the long-term lifelines.

In short, bitcoin is navigating stormy technical waters with its sails trimmed and barely catching wind. Until buyers step up with the kind of volume that turns heads, the trend leans heavily in favor of further downside—peppered with fleeting bounces and heavy resistance overhead.

Bull Verdict:

If bitcoin can claw its way back above $111,000 with conviction and volume, there’s a case for recovery. But until then, every uptick looks more like a dead cat bounce than a phoenix rising.

Bear Verdict:

As long as bitcoin continues printing lower highs, trading below every key moving average, and attracting volume only on red candles, the bears remain firmly in the driver’s seat—and they’re not slowing down for speed bumps.

• Where is bitcoin trading now?
  Bitcoin is currently priced at $107,951, near the lower end of its 24-hour range.
• Is bitcoin trending up or down?
  All key timeframes show a strong downtrend, confirmed by lower highs and selling pressure.
• What are traders watching?
  Key resistance levels at $110,000–$111,000 and support near $106,000 are under close watch.
• How are indicators signaling momentum?
  Momentum and moving average convergence divergence (MACD) show continued bearish momentum.

免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。