The price of Bitcoin seems to be losing momentum, which may indicate that more optimistic predictions for the end of 2025 may not be realized this year.
However, analysts are divided on whether BTC will see new momentum in 2026.
"We expect that cryptocurrency will not rise above $125,000 in 2025," said ShapeShift analyst Houston Morgan in an interview with Cointelegraph. This target is slightly lower than the historical high of just over $126,000 that BTC reached on October 4.
Morgan stated that BTC needs to break free from its current correlation with the news announced by U.S. President Donald Trump in order to see another bull market.
On Tuesday, as BTC suddenly dropped to a four-month low of $100,800, Bitcoin sell-offs intensified. A Bitfinex analyst stated on Tuesday, "The continued sell-off by long-term Bitcoin holders continues to exert structural pressure on the market."
The Bitfinex analyst added, "This ongoing outflow is consistent with the broader signs of fatigue visible in the market, as long-term holders continue to sell amid declining demand."
They warned that if BTC cannot quickly rebound above the recent level of $116,000, it may face further downside as the year comes to a close.
"Unless the price decisively recovers above that range, time will become an increasing resistance for bulls, as historically, prolonged stagnation erodes market sentiment and increases the risk of forced selling."
The cryptocurrency fear and greed index, which measures overall market sentiment, halved on Tuesday, dropping to 21 out of 100, indicating that the market is in a state of "extreme fear."
The current weakness in BTC's price stands in stark contrast to recent predictions of explosive growth. Just a few weeks ago, prominent Bitcoin advocates stated that the asset could still reach $250,000 by the end of the year.
Tom Lee, chairman of BitMine, and Arthur, co-founder of BitMEX, stated on the Bankless podcast in early October that they still believe BTC could reach between $200,000 and $250,000 by the end of the year, a prediction they have maintained for most of this year.
However, Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz stated that for BTC to reach that price by the end of the year, it would almost require the planets to align.
Analysts are divided on BTC's performance in 2026. Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan predicted in July that 2026 would be a "bullish year" for Bitcoin.
However, financial analyst Andrew Lokenauth posted on X on Tuesday that "2026 could be a bear market, similar to previous midterm election years."
Recently, veteran trader Peter Brandt predicted that BTC could fall to bear market levels as low as $60,000.
Related: Willy Woo: Strategy will not face Bitcoin (BTC) liquidation in the next bear market
Original article: “Bitcoin (BTC) Shows Signs of Weakness, Analysts Say It’s Unlikely to Rise Above $125,000 in 2025”
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