Good morning, today is November 18, 2025. As I mentioned yesterday, I firmly hold a bearish view, and it has indeed come to fruition.
I mentioned a long-term target of 91,000 for Bitcoin and 3,000 for Ethereum, and Ethereum has reached 3,000, while Bitcoin has also hit 91,000. There was no need to wait long-term; it was realized on the same day.
In such a market, it's still risky to try to catch the bottom; catching it halfway up is dangerous because Bitcoin's bottom is still in play. The levels of 87,000 and 78,000 could go even lower, and Ethereum has also seen both starting with 2 and 1, so everyone should just operate within the range.
If some friends have already tried to catch the bottom and are currently holding positions, feel free to reach out to me; I can help you with some measures to break even.
Those who followed along yesterday definitely made a profit.
Now, let's take a look at Bitcoin's situation today:
Today, Bitcoin has already broken through the key support level of 91,000. If it continues to break down, the next stage is at 89,000, which is the next support level.
If 91,000 is lost, and the 90,000 mark is also lost, then it will be 89,000, and below that, there is still 86,000, with the downward space continuously expanding. So at this time, it's advisable to short with the trend, and the hourly chart is showing a dusk star pattern. We can still continue to operate with the trend before a golden cross forms. For example, with the current price at 91,783, we can try a short position targeting 91,200, which could yield about 500 points in profit, and the operation is relatively smooth.
Ethereum is similar; currently, on the hourly level, it can still gain 15 to 20 points in profit.
From the 4-hour chart, let's first look at Bitcoin. The death cross has just formed on the 4-hour chart, and the current price is at the support level of 91,800, which is right at this point.
At the same time, the bearish momentum of the MACD is continuously strengthening, and we can continue to look bearish. If the price drops to the lower edge of the descending channel, which is in the range of 90,000 to 91,000, if it doesn't hold, it may further drop to 89,000.
If a rebound occurs, we should operate with the rebound trend, and at this time, we need to respond flexibly.
If you're unsure, you can reach out to me.
Ethereum is in a similar situation; the MACD on the 4-hour level is in a sticky state because the market has already dropped significantly and has broken below the psychological barrier of 3,000. Since it has broken this level, it is highly likely to continue downward. When people keep trying to catch the bottom, it actually provides momentum and fuel for the bears.
The 4-hour chart may retest the previous low, which is at 2,990, so if you're shorting, you can use 2,990 as the take-profit level. The hourly chart for Ethereum is currently in a rebound phase. If a golden cross forms, or if the price rises to the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, a long-term layout can be considered for shorting in the range of 3,100 to 3,050, and the operation is also relatively smooth. The 2-hour chart is also in a bottoming rebound phase.
Today's overall strategy has two options:
- Directly enter short positions for short-term operations; or
- Wait for a rebound before shorting.
Yesterday, Bitcoin experienced a new low, with prices around 91,700 to 91,000, while Ethereum was at a low of 2,295.8.
There will be many forces in the market trying to catch the bottom, which may trigger a wave of upward movement, but this is only temporary and cannot change the overall bearish trend. Therefore, waiting for a rebound before shorting is also a viable strategy.
If you want to go long at this time, you must be flexible, set up protections, and keep your position small. Currently, there are no more new strategies or news, and the overall trend remains bearish, with the market feeling like it is "stubbornly heading downward." You can refer to the strategies from the first half of the year for comparison, indicating that the bear market has just begun. That's all for today's video content. We'll continue with tomorrow's video. I wish everyone can make a lot of money in the last two months and have a bountiful year.
November 18, 2025 Layout Sharing:
Bitcoin: Bearish at 91,700-92,500, take profit at 91,000-90,000-89,000
Ethereum: Bearish at 3,020-3,050, take profit at 3,000-2,950-2,900
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