Cryptocurrency News
November 21 Highlights:
1. According to the CME's "FedWatch," the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 39.6%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 60.4%.
2. The AVAX One board has approved a stock buyback plan of up to $40 million.
3. Bitmine has increased its holdings by 17,242 ETH, valued at $49.07 million.
4. U.S. stock market close: Nasdaq fell over 2%, Nvidia opened high but closed low.
5. The head of the SEC's Trading and Markets Division stated that "trustless" digital asset mechanisms need to operate in "trusted" markets.
Trading Insights
The underlying logic of making money in cryptocurrency trading: a correct mindset leads to profits. Many people lose not due to technical skills but because of "overtrading" and "emotional turmoil"—chasing highs and cutting losses at the bottom are all symptoms of an imbalanced mindset. In fact, adhering to these three mindset principles is more effective than blindly staring at the screen for 10 hours, helping you avoid pitfalls and secure profits:
Set a "loss limit" before discussing "profit targets." Before entering a trade, ask yourself: if I lose this money, will it affect my life? Mortgage payments, living expenses, and loans should never be touched; such funds will lead to panic during market fluctuations. Only use "disposable" funds that you won't regret losing; this amount is your foundation for staying calm and enduring volatility.
Don’t compete with the market; compete with yourself. Price movements on the K-line have no "shoulds"; both rises and falls are random. No matter how impatient you are, you cannot change the facts. The real challenge is controlling your greed and fear: when prices reach your target, take profits as planned without being greedy; when prices hit your stop-loss, exit decisively without hoping for a miracle. If you can do these two things, you will outperform 80% of retail investors.
Accept "imperfection" to win in the long run. No one can buy at the lowest point or sell at the highest point, and no one can make a profit every time. Constantly trying to make up for missed gains or recover lost capital will only lead to more mistakes. Trading is a long-term battle, not a one-time win or loss. Accept occasional losses and let go of opportunities that aren't meant for you, allowing you to patiently wait for quality market conditions and turn small profits into large ones. Ultimately, not losing in trading is the starting point for winning, and staying steady is the greatest skill. When your mindset is chaotic, even the best strategies will fail; when your mindset is stable, even a slow pace can lead to success.
LIFE IS LIKE
A JOURNEY ▲
Below are the real trading signals from the Big White Community this week. Congratulations to those who followed along; if your trades aren't going well, you can come and test the waters.
The data is real, and each trade has a screenshot from when it was sent out.
**Search for the public account: *Big White Talks About Coins*
BTC


Analysis
Currently, the cash scale in U.S. money market funds is at a historical high (around $6-7 trillion). This indicates that people are very fearful and are withdrawing money from the stock market (including the cryptocurrency market) to earn interest. Once the stock market rebounds slightly, this money, which was withdrawn for safety, will likely flow back into the stock market out of fear of missing out, pushing stock prices sky-high. If the Federal Reserve chooses to cut rates in December, this cash may enter the market. Of course, besides the potential rate cut in December, some actions by Trump could also influence market sentiment, and even a court ruling against Trump's tariff violations and their cancellation could be a positive for the risk market.
Currently, the lowest has dropped below 86,000 points, with support around 84,900. If it breaks below, it could be seen around 84,000, and a pullback could be an opportunity to buy.
ETH


Analysis
As of the U.S. stock market close, the VIX closed at 26.42, still in a very awkward range that is neither high nor low. This range often indicates that market panic has been triggered but has not yet reached the level of "despair" (above 30). This means that it is very likely that we are not at the bottom of this decline. This situation is very similar to March and April 2025, as well as August to October 2024. In March, due to tariffs, both the U.S. stock market and Bitcoin fell together, and then in April, panic surged due to U.S.-China tariffs, with Bitcoin's lowest price reaching $75,000. The rebound was due to the easing of U.S.-China trade relations. Trading remains biased towards bearish; currently, the lowest has dropped below 2,800, and a rebound to around 2,900 to 2,960 could be an opportunity to short, with a death cross forming on the four-hour chart.
Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific trading advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article may have some lag; if you have any questions, feel free to consult.
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