Ethereum #Bitcoin #Ethereum Real-time Analysis #Bitcoin Real-time Analysis
Hello everyone, I am Lao Lv. The entire market has been digesting news over the past two days. At the end of last week, there was significant negative news, and today we have major positive news. This news is coming in succession, and currently, any excessive bullish or bearish sentiment is not advisable. The news is always temporary, and it is difficult to boost the market in a short time. The current trend can basically ignore technical analysis; any technical analysis is futile. The only thing we can do now is to trade within a large range. Since Monday and Tuesday have already seen a false bullish or bearish trend, the probability of continuing to trade within a large range is quite high. Although the two cryptocurrencies are moving in the same direction, the analysis points are still different. In the current trend, we can only consider extreme situations, and it will definitely become more volatile later. So, please believe this point; remember to eat and also remember to fight. The previous daily candlestick was a large bearish candle, and with the continuous breaking of support levels, shorting is definitely in line with the trend. We have positioned ourselves at a relatively extreme level for this short. Our expectation is that the price will rise and then fall, and after falling, it will rise again. However, it cannot just rise like this. According to the rebound expectation, the best resistance level is capped at 2950, which is already quite extreme, with a rebound of over two hundred dollars. It still comes down to one thing: any technical analysis is futile under the stimulation of news; the market will only root itself and form teams. This is essentially a game between the East and the West, with the West supporting and the East opposing. At its core, it is a game of monetary systems. Once you understand the final settlement method of the dual currencies, it is not difficult to comprehend. If we say that it is now BTC/¥ rather than BTC/$, who would the supporters be?
Ethereum, according to the previous analysis approach, has the support of a large bullish candle. If it really pulls back, it will be another opportunity to go long. However, looking at the continuous trends over the past two days, it is better not to enter long positions. The probability of continuation for both long and short positions is not very high. Currently, Ethereum's resistance level remains at 3035 USD, which is still the starting point for the "V" shaped reversal. Although Bitcoin has been breaking new highs, the analysis still shows discrepancies between the two cryptocurrencies. We are currently only considering one situation: whether the top pressure of the V-shaped reversal at 3030 will be broken. Therefore, in the current unpredictable market environment, we must consider extreme situations and cannot think like a normal person. The first situation: if the price starts to fall below the 3035 pressure, then after the pullback, do not enter long positions. I suggest trying to go long at the 2700 position instead, as the price is likely to oscillate. The second situation: if the price breaks above 3035, the first pressure point is at 3170. However, as long as it breaks, it is likely that this position will not hold. We still analyze that we should short around the 3250 position for a medium-term trade. This is the original plan. Currently, Ethereum is trading in a large range, with daily fluctuations of about 300-400. Therefore, you can only trade at the tops and bottoms. What you see as rising and falling now will only drain your money! So, let's summarize briefly:
- If 3035 is not broken, do not enter long on the pullback; consider entering long after breaking the new low to 2700.
- If it breaks 3035, go short at 3250 for a medium-term trade.
Bitcoin is also capped at the starting point of the four-hour large bearish candle at 92350. This is similar to Ethereum. In the past two days, it has fluctuated up and down by 20,000 points, which is terrifying! It is not that the market news is aligned; small investors and institutions cannot be so united. However, the only difference is that I believe Bitcoin cannot rise too much. At least, a bull market will not appear at this critical moment. It will definitely oscillate until later when everyone loses patience, and then we might see a second bull. Right now, too many eyes are watching; it is definitely not the time. If the price breaks 92350, even if it goes up to 94000, it still needs to be shorted once. Therefore, even if there is news, do not rush to consider that a bull market will come; we continue to see daily-level oscillation adjustments, at least on a weekly basis. Following the same analysis approach for Ethereum, we apply it to Bitcoin:
- If 92350 is not broken, do not enter long on the pullback; consider entering long after breaking the new low to 83200.
- If it breaks 92350, go short at 94000.
Today: Written by Lao Lv at 3:35 AM on December 3, 2025. Note that all strategies are effective once and cannot be reused! Check the text version and specific entry prices in the lower right corner of the image or video.
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