Ethereum #Bitcoin #Ethereum Real-time Analysis #Bitcoin Real-time Analysis

Hello everyone, I am Lao Lv. The main purpose of yesterday's article was to give everyone a sense of reassurance, as the price rose from $3065 to $3191, significantly reducing the mid-term bearish sentiment and eating away 85% of the profits from the decline. Many people became fearful and even doubtful. In yesterday's reassurance, we mainly discussed two points: First, since it is a mid-term bearish outlook, the downward space is definitely not enough. Second, it is normal to have rebounds during the decline; prices cannot always move in one go. In yesterday's article, we provided three support levels: 3040, 2900, and 2800. Currently, it has broken 3040, marking a small success in the mid-term. Next, we will look at the support level of 2900. Since we want to take a mid-term position, the support levels below are meant to observe for breaks rather than to open long positions. So, this point must be clear to everyone. I believe that with a $200 drop, it is possible to reduce positions and move the stop loss down. Regardless of how things go later, taking some profits first seems to be a stable approach. Today is Saturday, and I suggest going out to enjoy the scenery because, based on past trends, there will likely be little volatility. If we can see a fluctuation of more than $50, that would be quite good. However, we still need to continue analyzing the trends.

Ethereum, currently the daily line has been in consecutive declines, indicating an initial bearish momentum. The five-day moving average on the daily line has just been pulled down, and we still cannot say that the bearish trend has been established. At least one more day of decline is needed today. We need to pay attention to the pivotal point of 3120, as it has already dropped nearly $300 from the high. The precaution is against a potential bullish rebound. December started off well, and the beginning was quite strong! Precautions aside, we should first secure some profits in the mid-term. Since the four-hour line has been in consecutive declines, the main strategy is to continue shorting on rebounds, looking for a break below the support at 2900. The entire downward trajectory on the current hourly line is a rebound that does not break the previous major drop's starting point. According to this rule, we can continue downward. The new starting point for this round is 3156, so regardless of when to open a position, the stop loss must be set here. Once we identify the key positions, we can continue to discuss the entry points. According to the previous rebound limit, it is still at 0.786, which is $3120. However, based on last night's hourly line, if it is extremely weak, it should not break the starting point of the large bearish candle on the hourly line, which is $3105. The entry positions are not far apart, so we should not get too caught up in it and continue to enter within the range of $3100-$3120 for shorting. The current price fluctuations are already large, and if we get too fixated on this small range of a few dollars, we might miss out. The most important thing is to set a good stop loss, ideally not exceeding $50. As for the mid-term and short-term, we are looking at the range of $2800-$2820, so in this section, we must mention left-side trading and right-side trading.

We can view the completed market movement from 2718 to 3239 as left-side trading. It has already played out, and the normal thought process is to continue with right-side trading. Right-side trading involves finding support levels based on previous upward movements to go long. So, you see, in right-side trading, as long as you find the support level and then enter to go long, it can also be profitable, albeit with smaller gains. Similarly, shorting at 3220 is left-side trading because the price had not yet broken out, and we hit the top, which has now dropped to 2980. We continue to find positions to short, which is right-side trading. Therefore, you can clearly see that left-side trading carries higher risks but offers greater profit potential, while right-side trading is relatively safer but with smaller profit margins. However, after years of market validation, less than 10% of right-side traders can survive in the market for over two years. Left-side trading mainly relies on waiting, exchanging time for space, and abandoning the habit of frequent trading, waiting for expectations, waiting for tops and bottoms. This tests the holding capacity, which is not something an average person can endure. This is also why, sometimes internally, we only open one or two trades a week. Personally, I do not like to open positions but worry that students might be anxious, so in the end, I simply remove the time constraint, which makes everyone more at ease.

Now, let's talk about the bottom of left-side trading, which is the range of $2800-$2820 mentioned in the previous article. Since we did our analysis in advance before reaching this level, the starting point for the large upward movement on the four-hour line is 2810. After a $500 rise, if we reach this position without any rebound, it would be quite embarrassing for the bulls. Based on the weekly closing situation next week, it seems we still need to oscillate for a week, and neither bulls nor bears will have significant results. It is not ruled out that we will continue to sweep up and down around the large range. Being overly bullish or bearish is not the best choice; maintaining a mid-term perspective is sufficient. If the price is to drop, it will definitely need to test the bulls. The first support level at 2810 has been found. If we consider the deeper probing of prices on the four-hour level, we need to look for the range of 0.786-0.886, which is $2780-$2830. This is the second technical support. The last technical point is to use the trend line that suppresses the upper top to construct the upward channel line for the support below in advance. This price support is near 2820, but considering the actual entry, we still prefer to enter within the range, gradually buying in the range of $2820-$2790, with the stop loss still being your entry average price + $50, which remains unchanged!

So, regarding the current price movement around $3035, you need to observe whether the price will go up first or down first. If it goes down first, we look bullish according to expectations; if it goes up first, we look bearish according to expectations.

Bitcoin, there wasn't much technical analysis yesterday; it was just to let everyone focus on the key support level of 91700, which is very crucial. Yesterday, the hourly line's large bearish candle broke the 91700 level, then rebounded to 91450. If it does not break 91700, it completes a top-bottom conversion, ultimately dropping to around 87936. This decline in Bitcoin is significantly weaker than Ethereum, directly approaching the support level of 0.168. However, Ethereum is still far from the 618 support level of 2910. According to Ethereum's analysis, it is also focused on last night's major drop starting point, 91500. If it continues to drop today, the price cannot rise significantly above this level, which is also a pivotal point for bulls and bears. Therefore, for the entry point for shorting, there is no need to stick rigidly to this position; placing it around 90680 is sufficient. If you want to trade within a range, refer to 90400 to 91000. Regardless of when you enter, we only focus on two things: First, whether the stop loss exceeds 1000, and second, whether the downward space is sufficient. According to the current analysis, both conditions are met. For the previous left-side bullish pattern, the 86000 level is a good position, but we still need to focus on the extreme point, placing it at the starting point of the bullish candles, which is 84777. The stop loss at this position mainly needs to hold above the previous new low of 83777, which is just right.

Bitcoin is the same; we need to see whether the price goes up first or down first. If it goes down first, we look bullish according to expectations; if it goes up first, we look bearish according to expectations.

Today: Written by Lao Lv on December 6, 2025, at 12:23 PM. Please note that all strategies are effective once and cannot be reused! Check the text version and specific entry prices in the lower right corner of the image or video.

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