Hello everyone, on December 11 at 10:35, the current market situation completely aligns with our previous predictions, continuing the overall bearish pattern. The core operation remains "to follow the trend and closely monitor key levels." By following the strategy, you can steadily grasp the rhythm!
Bitcoin (BTC): After breaking down, bears dominate, with 89000-89500 as the key observation zone.
• Core Trend: The 4-hour chart has broken below the key level of 91800, and there has been no effective rebound after the breakdown. A death cross has formed on the 4-hour chart, and MACD continues to release bearish signals, fully aligning with our short-selling logic. Combined with the market fluctuations after the Federal Reserve's "hawkish rate cut," the current price is struggling around 91000, with bearish momentum still being released.
• Key Levels: The next target is aimed directly at 89500. If support fails, it will trend down to 89000; strong support below focuses on the 88000-89000 range, where the previous low and trend line resonate. If this level is lost, it may open up greater downside potential. Resistance is concentrated at 93000-94000; do not consider reversing to long positions until this level is broken.
• Operation Suggestion: Maintain a short position as the main strategy, observing for stabilization signals in the 89500-89000 range, and do not blindly catch the bottom; if the price effectively breaks below 88000, you can add to the short position, with a strict stop-loss set above 93000 (breakdown reversal signal).
Ethereum (ETH): Death cross approaching, with 3200-3240 as the core shorting zone.
• Core Trend: The 4-hour chart is about to form a death cross, having broken below the key support of 3235. After rising to 3440 due to rate cut news, it has significantly retraced and is currently weakly oscillating around 3260, with bullish momentum clearly exhausted. The 1-hour chart quickly fell back after a brief rise due to policy, and market sentiment is bearish, with strong support at 3100 becoming the focus again.
• Key Levels: The shorting target is initially set at 3130, with profit-taking possible in batches at this level; strong support below is at 3001, which, if reached, may trigger a "big waterfall" or a technical rebound, requiring flexible responses. Resistance above is at 3300 (previous support turned resistance) and 3400; the shorting logic remains unchanged until stabilization above these levels.
• Operation Suggestion: If stabilization cannot be achieved near 3240, directly short in line with the trend; if it retraces to the 3250-3280 range, you can add to the short position, with a stop-loss set above 3380. Even if a short-term rebound occurs, maintain short positions until 3400 is broken, without being greedy for rebound profits.
Core Points for Overall Operation
Policy Impact: The Federal Reserve's rate cut only triggered a brief rebound, and the "hawkish guidance" has led to tightening liquidity expectations. The policy benefits are not sustainable, so do not be misled by short-term fluctuations.
Technical Key: When operating, be sure to pay attention to the overlapping areas of the Bollinger Bands and resistance/support levels, and combine MACD and death cross signals for decision-making to improve the success rate of operations.
Risk Warning: The market has been highly volatile recently, with over 300 million USD in liquidations across the network in 24 hours. Do not amplify leverage due to previous profits to avoid being "cut by confidence"; a significant market movement may occur early next week, so control positions and accumulate profits to build momentum for future trends.
The market during this period has progressed entirely according to our predictions, with strategies from September to November fully realized. This is the confidence of professional analysis! Continue to closely monitor the key defense lines of 89000 (BTC) and 3001 (ETH), operate in line with the trend, and set strict stop-losses. By following the rhythm, you can steadily profit.
12-11 Layout Sharing
Bearish on Bitcoin, pursue shorts, or short on rebounds.
Same operation for Ethereum.
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