Crypto Circle News
December 16 Highlights:
1. Federal Reserve's Williams: Employment slowdown and easing inflation risks support the decision to cut interest rates, indicating that policy will be in a good position entering 2026.
2. Bitfinex Alpha Report: 2026 will be a year of liquidity, with the scale of crypto ETP asset management possibly exceeding $400 billion.
3. Circle announces the acquisition of Axelar's initial development team, Interop Labs, and its intellectual property to accelerate cross-chain interoperability.
4. Federal Reserve Governor Mulan: May continue to serve after the term ends at the end of January until a successor is confirmed.
5. Nasdaq plans to extend trading hours for stocks and trading products to 23 hours.
Trading Insights
"Going long makes you unable to resist buying, going short makes you unable to resist shorting, and holding positions makes you unable to resist adding. Any direction is not the problem; the problem is the frequency." There are too many temptations in the market, and both long and short positions have "seemingly reasonable" aspects. Today you want to catch a bottom, tomorrow you want to short, and next week you feel you should add to your original position… Over time, you are no longer waiting for opportunities but responding to stimuli. The real core is not whether to go long or short, nor whether your judgment is right or wrong, but whether you can withstand those seemingly promising but actually just noise temptations. Opportunities are few, impulses are many. This reminds me of a classic story about Livermore. After going bankrupt, he hardly touched anything, did nothing, and waited a long time—waiting for the market to present a truly structural big opportunity before he heavily invested in the Bethlehem Steel battle (interested friends can search for Livermore's Bethlehem Steel battle, a remarkable comeback). Others think his secret to rebirth was "getting that judgment right," but he himself said, "I can win because I can wait." He didn't jump in when he felt like trading; he waited until he had to trade. This is how experts operate: >> Not moving every day, but moving at critical moments. >> Not frequently looking for opportunities, but letting opportunities come to find you. >> Not more is better, but less is more accurate. Whether long, short, or holding positions, human nature will gradually push the frequency of actions higher, making you more scattered and messy, and when a good opportunity finally comes, you have already lost your edge. So the essence of the logic is just one sentence: The truly winning people are not those with strong judgment, but those who can endure. They take fewer actions, but each one is valuable.
LIFE IS LIKE
A JOURNEY ▲
Below are the real trading group orders from the Big White Community this week. Congratulations to the friends who followed along. If your operations are not going smoothly, you can come and test the waters.
The data is real, and each order has a screenshot from the time it was issued.
**Search for the public account: *Big White Talks Coins*
Bilibili and YouTube account: Daquan 777
BTC
Analysis
The data for Bitcoin spot ETF is still lackluster. Although many data points indicate that there is significant buying of ETFs in the U.S., the crypto ETF market has not generated much interest, with inflows and outflows not reaching four digits, indicating a lack of capital. Traditional investors continue to maintain a lukewarm attitude towards cryptocurrencies.
The 100th week of Bitcoin spot ETF has just passed, with U.S. investors net inflowing 3,124 BTC this week. Although this is stronger than the net outflow of 1,104 BTC in the 99th week, it is still just that—most investors remain in a wait-and-see state, buying very little and selling very little. A pullback to around 84,760-84,200 can be a buying opportunity, with a rebound target looking towards 87,000-88,200.
ETH
Analysis
The data for ETH in the past week is slightly better than BTC, but just slightly. In the past week, only Friday saw a net outflow, while the other four days had net inflows. On Friday, BlackRock's investors still maintained net inflows, but Grayscale's investors saw a significant amount of selling, and Fidelity, which often chases highs and cuts losses, also had a small amount of selling.
In the recently concluded 77th week data, U.S. investors bought a total of 72,440 ETH, which is an improvement compared to the net outflow of 22,983 ETH in the 76th week. Essentially, it is still very similar to BTC, as traditional investors still show little interest in cryptocurrencies. A pullback to around 2,852-2,827 can be a buying opportunity, with a rebound target looking towards 2,970-3,050.
Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific operational advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article has a certain lag. If you have any questions, feel free to consult.
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