The yield on Japanese government bonds continues to rise. In Figure 1, it is not difficult to see that funds have partially flowed back to Japan. The negative news has mostly been priced in already. Next, the cryptocurrency market, in conjunction with the U.S. stock market, is likely to see a small rally.

Currently, in Figure 2, the yen exchange rate has reached 157. For the cryptocurrency market, it is highly probable that it will reach a critical point and start to decline. This is because the interest rate hike in Japan reduces profits for the tens of trillions of dollars in arbitrage capital from outside, as previously there was a 0% loan rate, allowing easy profits from U.S. stocks and bonds. Now, with the rate changing from 0 to 0.75%, those stocks and bonds with low returns will definitely start to see capital withdrawal. Therefore, it is predicted that tonight or early tomorrow morning, there is a high probability of a sell-off.

Thus, today it is highly likely that it will rise to 3000 before a sell-off occurs.

The best entry point is to short around 3038, with a stop loss at 3099, and a target set at 2919 with 100X leverage and a 5% position size.

Follow the public account for real-time alerts (account bans do not affect this; just follow the operations above).

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