Recalling November, friends who were brushing Alpha were almost all complaining.
After working hard for more than ten days, not only did they not make any money, but they also received "low-level airdrops" worth only a few U. The key point is that the thresholds kept getting higher. After a whole month, they couldn't even cover the transaction fees.

But like any market, we should have a bottom-fishing mindset.
Those who can truly make money rely not on emotions, but on a bottom-fishing mentality—When others are fearful, I am greedy; when others are greedy, I am fearful.

1. Binance Alpha Actually Has Cycles

I wonder if everyone remembers that when Binance Alpha was first launched in April, the profit effect was almost explosive, and Alpha became popular as a result.

But by July and August, the number of participants surged, and the profits were quickly diluted, clearly showing signs of weakening.

In September, with several "big gold dogs" emerging, Alpha returned to its peak, instantly attracting a large number of newcomers.

Then in October and November, the overall market declined, profits dropped, emotions reversed, directly triggering the largest wave of resignations.

Now in December, Alpha is showing signs of warming up again.

If you extend the timeline, you will find that Binance Alpha has a very typical cycle of about three months, roughly experiencing:

Explosion → Massive Participation → Too Many People Diluting Profits → Wave of Resignations → Profit Recovery → Another Explosion

Understanding the cycle is essential to discussing long-term profits.

2. What Should We Really Do?

Duan Yongping once said: "Do the right thing, and do things right."

From a long-term perspective, brushing Alpha itself is the right thing to do.

Ask yourself, in the current environment, besides DeFi (which also carries the risk of theft), where else in the crypto world can you find something like this:

5 minutes a day, earning 200U a month, with the worst outcome being just losing some transaction fees?

So the question has never been "Should I brush Alpha?" but rather Are you brushing it correctly?

Persistence does not mean mindlessly pushing through.

The truly correct approach is conditional persistence, doing things right.

By the way, if you are currently using the Binance wallet and haven't linked an invitation code, you can directly use AiCoin's exclusive code: SEPRFR9Q.

After linking, the transaction fees for brushing Alpha in the wallet will be a long-term 10% discount, and the longer you brush, the more you save.

Here’s the link:
https://web3.binance.com/referral?ref=SEPRFR9Q

3. What Specifically Should We Do?

When the market is bad, lower your score to protect your account, rather than stubbornly holding on.

Let’s take the most intuitive example.

When the market is good, I brush at the 60,000 score level + 2 points balance,
I can add 18 points a day, totaling 270 points in a 15-day cycle.

Although the transaction fee is about 4U a day, when the market is good, just getting a decent airdrop can cover the costs.

But now that the market is bad, continuing to brush like this is essentially going against the market.

At this point, you can completely adjust your strategy:
Brush at the 16,000 score level, keeping the daily transaction fee around 1U, and you can still steadily add points.

You might miss one or two "low-level airdrops," but you save on transaction fees while protecting your points and participation eligibility.

Once the market warms up, you will start from the points you already have, rather than starting from 0, making the efficiency difference very obvious.

Learn to Use Tools to Determine the Cycle of Alpha

Here are three websites I commonly use.

The first is https://alpha123.uk/, which everyone is quite familiar with,
mainly used to check the stability of brushing volume and the historical value of airdrops.

The second is https://alpha520.com/, which many people use less frequently.
I mainly use it to observe the trend of the number of active Alpha participants, similar to reading K-lines.

When the number of active participants hits bottom, it’s suitable to increase the intensity of brushing and dare to bottom-fish;
when the number of participants increases, lower your score to protect your account and avoid diluted profits.

The third is the airdrop section on the AiCoin web page:
https://www.aicoin.com/zh-Hans/airdrop?lang=cn

This section summarizes participation information for mainstream airdrop projects across the internet in one place, allowing you to quickly determine which ones are worth participating in and which are just for show, enabling you to participate in various airdrop activities with targeted efficiency under the same time cost.

4. Changes in Alpha

Friends who are still persisting in brushing Alpha must have noticed a significant change recently:

Alpha has launched a new airdrop claiming method.

The rules are simple—
In the first minute, claiming an airdrop requires 30 points,
then every minute thereafter, the threshold decreases by 1 point,
with a minimum requirement of only 10 points.

From the design intent, I believe this mechanism is very clear:
To prevent bots from mindlessly snatching airdrops, turning the claiming process from a "speed competition" into a "judgment competition," adding a certain level of strategy and fun.

The idea is good, but after experiencing it for two rounds, my conclusion is straightforward:
Using 30 points to snatch in the first minute is currently a significant loss.

I participated in two rounds, and the basic situation was:
The return for 30 points was about fifty-something U,
whether from the perspective of point cost or expected return, it was clearly disproportionate.

In other words, at this stage,
the return of this method cannot support the point premium in the first minute.

If you just want to participate and not engage in competition,
a more prudent approach is to wait until there are more airdrop shares before taking action.

And claim it after 20 minutes, when the points drop to 10,
which can significantly reduce point loss,
and also gives you enough time to observe the project quality and market performance,
to judge whether this airdrop is worth taking.

Of course, I can't say this definitively.
If this model can produce a real big gold dog later,
then the competitive value of the first minute may be re-evaluated.

5. Conclusion

The mechanism of Alpha has never been designed for those chasing trends, but rather for those who can understand cycles, control costs, and are willing to stay in the game long-term.

When making money, everyone is in;
when not making money, that’s when the real gap begins to widen.

But there’s one reality that must be recognized:
In the long run, the number of people participating in Alpha will definitely increase.

As more and more people master the rules, tools, and strategies, the excess returns of Alpha will inevitably be continuously eroded, ultimately tending towards a state of "efficient market." By that time, the space left for latecomers will only get smaller.

So what truly makes Alpha valuable is not just the mechanism itself,
but the existing information gap, execution gap, and cognitive gap.

If you decide to participate in Alpha, the best time is not to wait for certainty, but to take action now, to grab the bonuses before the cycle completely flattens.

The market will come around again and again,
but opportunities never wait for anyone.

Join our community, let’s discuss and grow stronger together!

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