RMB Cross-Border Breakthrough Battle: China Makes a Key Move in Southeast Asia!

CN
3 hours ago

Breaking the Deadlock

● The People's Bank of China and eight other departments jointly released financial support policies for the new western land-sea corridor, establishing the "Central Bank Western Land-Sea Intelligent Integration" comprehensive financial service platform, covering five major modules including financial policy promotion and product release. This move marks the first systematic binding of financial infrastructure with geopolitical strategy in China's process of renminbi internationalization.

● The platform directly supports renminbi reinvestment by investors from ASEAN countries. In the tightening liquidity of the US dollar in 2025, China is quietly rewriting the rules of capital flow in Southeast Asia through the pilot program of integrated currency pool business.

Invisible Front

● While the Federal Reserve is still entangled in a 4.3% GDP growth and the lag of monetary policy, China has laid out a second battlefield outside its Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS). Market observers note that this policy deliberately blurs the boundaries between traditional cross-border settlement and the application of digital renminbi, reserving interfaces for the future mBridge project.

● The virtual asset licensing system promoted in Hong Kong at the same time resonates subtly with mainland policies. This dual-track parallel strategy maintains a regulatory firewall while opening a gray channel for capital flow.

Unspoken Chess Game

● Although there is no clear timetable for the cross-border application of digital renminbi, the modular design of the "Intelligent Integration" platform suggests that it can load digital currency functions at any time. This stands in ironic contrast to the current situation where the valuation of the crypto market is generally lower than that of venture capital rounds—sovereign digital currencies are absorbing the essence of blockchain technology while discarding its decentralized core.

● Interestingly, the policy document makes no mention of a SWIFT alternative, yet it substantively weakens the dollar's anchoring role in the regional industrial chain by supporting reinvestment in ASEAN.

Restructuring the Landscape

● The outcome of this monetary game does not depend on technological advancement but on system resilience. The United States relies on the network effect of the dollar, while China builds anti-fragility through a trade-investment-settlement integrated framework. As the crypto industry falls into a valuation winter, sovereign digital currencies are quietly completing a paradigm revolution.

● However, the risks are equally evident: an excessive reliance on the Southeast Asian market may cause the internationalization of the renminbi to exhibit regional characteristics, with a capability gap compared to the global liquidity supply of the dollar. This breakout battle has only just completed its preliminary skirmishes.

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