Cryptocurrency News
December 30 Highlights:
1. Today, 10 U.S. Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of 3,495 BTC, while 9 Ethereum ETFs experienced a net outflow of 17,969 ETH.
2. Securitize: BUIDL has become the first tokenized U.S. Treasury product to distribute over $100 million in returns to investors.
3. Cantor Fitzgerald: The crypto market may be entering a new winter, and Bitcoin prices could remain under pressure in the coming months.
4. South Korea's Digital Asset Basic Law plans to include no-fault compensation and bankruptcy isolation mechanisms for stablecoins; the government proposal may be delayed until next year.
5. Coinbase Institutional: The trading volume of perpetual contracts is increasing, evolving towards DeFi core financial primitives.
Trading Insights
Trading Insights — Don't rely on luck! Good risk management allows you to seize opportunities when the market moves. Everyone has their lucky moments in trading; although I've had a few lucky calls recently, never place blind faith in anyone — including me. The essence of trading is about being right or wrong. Since mistakes are inevitable, what we can do is think ahead: What if we are wrong? The answer is simple: implement good risk control. Risk management is not about winning every time; it's about ensuring that when mistakes happen, you won't "bleed out" too much. As long as your principal is intact, when a significant market movement occurs, you'll have the ability to seize it. Otherwise, if you've lost too much of your principal, you'll just be watching opportunities pass by.
LIFE IS LIKE
A JOURNEY ▲
Below are the real trades from the Big White Community's live trading group this week. Congratulations to those who followed along; if your trades aren't going well, you can come and test the waters.
The data is real, and each trade has a screenshot from when it was sent out.
**Search for the public account: *Big White Talks Coins*
Bilibili and YouTube account: Daquan777
BTC
Analysis
When Bitcoin reached $90,000, I wanted to say we should watch the market trends after the U.S. stock market opens. After all, in a favorable situation, the possibility of the U.S. stock market driving the price is higher, and it was normal for it to drop back to around $88,000 at night.
We've talked about the $90,000 curse for a long time. Although I don't know the reason, I see that trading volume is increasing, suggesting there are quite a few sellers. A breakthrough that resolves this situation may require stronger positive news to support buying.
Looking at the data, after Monday arrives, the turnover rate is still not high, indicating that high-frequency traders are still on vacation. The U.S. stock market has also seen a slight decline, which should be within a normal range. Recently, there hasn't been much critical data or important speeches, just fatigue regarding 2025.
From the current chip structure, the probability of re-establishing a bottom at $83,000 is very high, and the open interest at $87,000 exceeds 800,000 BTC, indicating that the probability of high volatility is also increasing. In the short term, it looks relatively healthy, as the earlier loss positions remain very stable. A pullback to around $86,300-85,600 could be a good opportunity to go long, with a rebound target of around $87,200-88,400. If it rebounds to $89,400-90,000, consider going short, targeting around $86,800-85,800.
ETH
Analysis
Ethereum Weekly Level: The price closed with a small bearish candle last week, continuing the downward trend after the evening star bearish pattern. This week opened high but closed low, and the price has not broken through the descending trend line, likely continuing to close bearish under the trend line's pressure. The key weekly support level is around $2,630.
Daily Level: The current structure resembles a head and shoulders pattern, with the right shoulder resistance around $3,050, parallel to the left shoulder, and a resonant trend line resistance. With support below the right shoulder and resistance above, the movement space is being squeezed and converging. There are still 2 days left to close the monthly candle, and after that, we will see a new direction. Currently, it remains a directionless converging oscillation.
In terms of fixed trading volume, the price is oscillating back and forth in the current POC area, which can be viewed as the average price position of the oscillation area. Above this area, consider setting up short positions.
Vegas is forming strong resistance at the current price. After breaking upward yesterday, it failed and closed as a shooting star, so we can consider Vegas as short-term resistance.
4-Hour Level: The 4-hour structure resembles a continuation triangle in a downtrend. Currently, after convergence on the right side, we expect a drop to the starting position.
1-Hour Level: The price is oscillating back and forth, so currently, do not chase short-term trends. It is necessary to reduce trading frequency and wait for the monthly candle to close, setting up swing short positions at key upper levels, waiting for the converging structure to choose a new direction.
Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific operational advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article may have some lag. If you have any questions, feel free to consult.
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