Crypto Circle News

January 3 Hot Topics:

1. Danske Bank: Global market liquidity is expected to rebound next week.

2. Industry insiders: The core logic supporting the strengthening of the RMB is clearly visible.

3. Aave Labs plans to share non-protocol revenue to alleviate community governance disputes.

4. Bitfinex 120,000 BTC theft mastermind Ilya Lichtenstein released early.

5. CryptoQuant warns: Bitcoin's "whale buying effect" may be overinterpreted.

Trading Insights

1. Don’t think for yourself; let the market prove it to you. Right-side trading is more reliable; it's no longer suitable for old strategies to take risks. More importantly, not losing or losing less is the basic line for making money in the capital market.
2. Don’t be afraid of frequent trading; transaction costs are minimal, low enough to be negligible. If you don’t want to hold, sell it; you can always buy back anytime.
3. Carefully observe historical trends; each stock has different qualities and habits, reflecting the preferences of capital.

LIFE IS LIKE

A JOURNEY ▲

Below are the real trading group orders from the Big White Community this week. Congratulations to the coin friends who followed along. If your operations are not going smoothly, you can come and test the waters.

The data is real, and each order has a screenshot from the time it was issued.

**Search for the public account: *Big White Talks About Coins*

Bilibili and YouTube account: Daquan777

BTC

Analysis

Before tonight's closing, the Nasdaq experienced a slight decline, which led Bitcoin to still not fully stabilize above $90,000. Personally, I believe that even if BTC breaks through $90,000 over the weekend, it may not represent stability after the U.S. stock market opens on Monday. However, if it can rise a bit over the weekend, it will still boost investor sentiment.

Looking back at Bitcoin's data, the turnover rate remains high, and trading volume has increased, which means that investors will return to work mode starting next week, and liquidity will see a certain rebound. Moreover, BTC's price rebound on Friday was quite good; although it has not yet stabilized above $90,000, I believe there won't be any major issues over the weekend.

Next week, we need to pay attention to macro and political events again, and the support levels will be adjusted. After this adjustment, it should stabilize.

Bitcoin is still in a medium-term high-level oscillation and retracement context (the weekly candlestick has a long shadow, with pressure above and support below). The daily chart is in a recovery state, and the 4-hour chart is trapped in a range between 89,400 and 90,200. When it drops, there are buyers; when it rebounds, there are sellers. The funds seem to be engaging in short-term high selling and low buying rather than pushing the trend. The most important pressure points for the day are 90,300-90,500. Although it spiked to 90,900 last night, it did not stabilize on the hourly chart, so it does not count as an effective breakthrough of 90,500. The most important support point is 90,000. Therefore, treat it as oscillation for the day and wait for the hourly close at 90,000 to see the direction.

ETH

Analysis

Compared to BTC's data, ETH's data on Wednesday was slightly better, mainly due to a sudden strong purchase from Grayscale investors, while BlackRock investors remained the main sellers, and other institutions can be ignored. In 2025, U.S. investors net bought over 2.47 million ETH, accounting for 40% of the total ETH supply. Similar to BTC, more investors are staying on the sidelines. A pullback to around 3,087-3,063 can be a buying opportunity, with rebound targets looking towards 3,140-3,190.

Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific operational advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article has a certain lag. If you have any questions, feel free to consult.

January 2 Hot Topics:

1. Peter Schiff: If included in the S&P 500, Strategy 2025's decline would rank sixth worst in the index.

2. The Central Cyberspace Administration: This year, 1,418 counterfeit websites have been cleared, some impersonating financial institutions to promote "stablecoin" investments.

3. An address that had been dormant for over 12 months has unstaked a total of 631,900 HYPE through three different wallets in the past three days, equivalent to about $20.3 million, which accounts for about 14%-15% of its total holdings.

4. The UniSat wallet Runes indexing issue has been fixed, and services have resumed normally.

5. Coinbase CEO: The Base App focuses on social trading, which is different from the positioning of the main Coinbase application.

Trading Insights

1. Don’t think for yourself; let the market prove it to you. Right-side trading is more reliable; it's no longer suitable for old strategies to take risks. More importantly, not losing or losing less is the basic line for making money in the capital market.
2. Don’t be afraid of frequent trading; transaction costs are minimal, low enough to be negligible. If you don’t want to hold, sell it; you can always buy back anytime.
3. Carefully observe historical trends; each stock has different qualities and habits, reflecting the preferences of capital.

LIFE IS LIKE

A JOURNEY ▲

Below are the real trading group orders from the Big White Community this week. Congratulations to the coin friends who followed along. If your operations are not going smoothly, you can come and test the waters.

The data is real, and each order has a screenshot from the time it was issued.

**Search for the public account: *Big White Talks About Coins*

Bilibili and YouTube account: Daquan777

BTC

Analysis

In 2025, BTC gradually flowed into long-term holding, particularly among high-net-worth users. This group is not sensitive to price; whether it rises or falls, there is a clear buying behavior. In contrast, small-scale investors are more sensitive to price. Over the past year, the number of open contracts for BTC across all exchanges has been significant.

Next is Bitcoin's open contract data. Although this data does not directly show BTC's upcoming trend, it clearly indicates that the current leverage level for BTC is very low. Considering the deleveraging in October as a chain reaction factor, the current leverage level is actually one of the lowest this year.

A low leverage level indicates that investor sentiment is not high. On the other hand, repeated oscillations can cause leveraged investors to lose confidence. However, it is evident that there is a trend of increasing open contracts. If we look at the leverage data over the past five years, it will be clearer.

In the past five years, BTC's open contracts on exchanges

A rebound to around 88,970-90,000 can be a selling opportunity, with targets looking towards 87,350-86,750.

ETH

Analysis

The inventory on exchanges continues to decrease, with the number of holdings clearly greater than sales. Holding means that at least there are still more investors optimistic about BTC's future. From the holding data, high-net-worth investors tend to hold the most and are less affected by price. Even traditional investors have not shown signs of completely abandoning cryptocurrencies in favor of U.S. stocks.

This group of high-net-worth and traditional investors is mainly composed of U.S. and U.S. time zone investors. Therefore, U.S. politics, economy, and monetary policy will still have a significant impact on cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin. Although currently constrained by liquidity, the leverage level and investor sentiment are low, it is clear that we are in a position-building phase. Once liquidity or policies provide better stimulation, it will greatly influence the strengthening of BTC prices. A pullback to around 2,975-2,947 can be a buying opportunity, with rebound targets looking towards 3,050-3,120.

Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific operational advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article has a certain lag. If you have any questions, feel free to consult.

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