Crypto Circle News
January 12 Hot Topics:
1. Coinbase pressures Congress, stablecoin reward provisions become the focus of crypto legislative games.
2. Solana reveals collaboration with X and integrates X application.
3. Chair of the UK Parliament committee calls for a ban on cryptocurrency political donations.
4. Michael Saylor releases Bitcoin Tracker information again, may increase Bitcoin holdings.
5. Ethereum Foundation co-executive director: The future of Ethereum depends on the direct introduction of zero-knowledge proofs.
Trading Insights
Going long makes you unable to resist buying, going short makes you unable to resist shorting, while holding positions makes you unable to resist adding. Any direction is not the problem; the issue is the frequency. There are too many temptations in the market, and both long and short positions have "seemingly reasonable" aspects. Today you want to catch a bottom, tomorrow you want to short, and next week you feel you should add to your original position… Over time, you are no longer waiting for opportunities but responding to stimuli. The real core is not whether to go long or short, nor whether your judgment is right or wrong, but whether you can withstand those seemingly promising but actually just noise temptations. Opportunities are few, impulses are many. This reminds me of a classic story about Livermore. After going bankrupt, he hardly touched anything, did nothing, and waited a long time—waiting for the market to present a truly structural big opportunity before he heavily invested in Bethlehem Steel (friends interested can search for Livermore's Bethlehem Steel battle, a remarkable comeback). Others thought his rebirth secret was "getting that judgment right," but he said, "I can win because I can wait." He didn't trade when he wanted to but when he had to. This is how experts operate: >> Not moving every day, but moving at critical moments. >> Not frequently looking for opportunities, but letting opportunities come to find you. >> Not more is better, but less is more accurate. Whether long, short, or holding positions, human nature will gradually push the frequency of actions higher, making you more chaotic and scattered, and when a good opportunity finally comes, you have already lost your edge. So the essence of the logic is actually just one sentence: Those who can truly win are not those with strong judgment, but those who can endure. Fewer actions, but each one is valuable.
LIFE IS LIKE
A JOURNEY ▲
Below are the real trading group orders from the Big White Community this week. Congratulations to the friends who followed along; if your operations are not going well, you can come and test the waters.
The data is real, and each order has a screenshot from when it was issued.
**Search for the public account: *Big White Talks Coins*
Bilibili and YouTube account: Daquan777
BTC
Analysis
From the data of Bitcoin, the turnover rate on Sunday significantly decreased, reaching the lowest level in recent months. This indicates that, without institutional and quantitative interference, real investors still have very low interest in current trading.
There is not much to say about the chip structure over the weekend. I am currently waiting to see if it will reappear at the $90,000 bottom or if it will bottom at $83,000. However, the higher-level loss investors still maintain a very high position and show no signs of panic. A pullback near 91826-91658 can be used to go long, with a rebound target looking towards 92900-93400. A rebound to 92865-93400 can be used to go short, with a target looking towards around 92000.
ETH
Analysis
Sunday passed without incident. This day was spent learning, from the morning until almost dawn, with hardly any time to write. This fulfilling life is quite good. The biggest event over the weekend was still Trump's attitude towards Iran and Venezuela. The probability of Trump engaging with Iran seems quite high, while Venezuela appears to have finalized a deal for oil. However, today the U.S. embassy has already informed American citizens to leave Venezuela.
Moreover, it seems Trump has also suspended Venezuela's oil supply to Cuba, indicating that the probability of Venezuela's oil being "controlled" by the U.S. is quite high. The market is most concerned about the impact of this series of actions by Trump. From the current price trend of $BTC, it resembles the time when Maduro was arrested last week, especially with a slight increase during U.S. hours, indicating the market is in a buying mood.
Of course, it is not easy to determine now. A few hours later, when U.S. stock futures open, Asian investors will first provide their answers, and then we will see the responses from European and American investors to confirm. A pullback near 3145-3135 can be used to go long, with a rebound target looking towards 3200-3250.
Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific operational advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article has a certain lag. If you have any questions, feel free to consult.
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