Cryptocurrency News
January 13 Hot Topics:
1. SEC Chairman: There is still uncertainty about whether the U.S. will seize Bitcoin assets allegedly held by Venezuela.
2. CFTC restructures the Innovation Advisory Committee, including executives from crypto companies and traditional exchanges as the first members.
3. SEC postpones the review of PENGU and T. Rowe Price's crypto ETF.
4. FTX/Alameda unstakes 195,669 SOL, worth approximately $27.98 million.
5. U.S. Senator proposes a bill to protect crypto developers, with a major regulatory framework for crypto set to be introduced soon.
Trading Insights
Going long will make you unable to resist buying, going short will make you unable to resist shorting, and holding positions will make you unable to resist adding. Any direction is not the problem; the issue is the frequency. There are too many temptations in the market, and both long and short positions have "seemingly reasonable" aspects. Today you want to catch a bottom, tomorrow you want to short, and next week you feel you should add to your original position… Over time, you are no longer waiting for opportunities but responding to stimuli. The real core is not whether to go long or short, nor whether your judgment is right or wrong, but whether you can withstand those seemingly promising but actually just noise temptations. Opportunities are few, impulses are many. This reminds me of a classic story about Livermore. After going bankrupt, he hardly touched anything, did nothing, and waited a long time—waiting for the market to present a truly structural big opportunity before he heavily invested in Bethlehem Steel (friends interested can search for Livermore's Bethlehem Steel battle, a remarkable comeback). Others thought his secret to rebirth was "getting that judgment right," but he said, "I can win because I can wait." He didn't trade when he wanted to but when he had to. This is the approach of a master: >> It’s not about moving every day, but moving at critical moments. >> It’s not about frequently looking for opportunities, but letting opportunities come to you. >> It’s not about more is better, but less is more accurate. Whether long, short, or holding positions, human nature will gradually push the frequency of actions higher, making you more scattered and messy, and when a good opportunity finally comes, you have already lost your edge. So the essence of the logic is actually just one sentence: the truly winning person is not the one with strong judgment, but the one who can endure. Fewer actions, but each one is valuable.
LIFE IS LIKE
A JOURNEY ▲
Below are the real trading signals from the Daba community this week. Congratulations to the friends who followed along. If your operations are not going smoothly, you can come and try it out.
The data is real, and each order has a screenshot from the time it was sent.
**Search for the public account: *Dabai Talks About Coins*
Bilibili and YouTube account: Daqian777
BTC
Analysis
Trump published a new article on Truth Social, discussing that if the Supreme Court rules that the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration are illegal, the U.S. may refund the tariffs collected previously. Trump mentioned that this amount could be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. I checked, and the total tariffs for 2025 are about $250 billion, which is similar to what Trump said.
If we also consider the compensation for companies forced to open factories in the U.S. due to tariffs, this could amount to trillions of dollars, and most of this money has already been spent, mainly on fiscal deficits, government spending, and subsidies. Therefore, if the Supreme Court rules that the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration are illegal and requires a refund, the U.S. has no other option but to issue a large amount of debt.
A pullback to around 89820-89280-88580 can be a buying opportunity, with a rebound target around 91400. A rebound to around 92200-92850 can be a shorting opportunity, with a target around 89820-88600.
ETH
Analysis
When BTC data is consistently poor, ETH data is also likely to be poor. During the three consecutive days of significant spot ETF sell-offs for Bitcoin, ETH also saw considerable selling, primarily driven by investors from BlackRock and Grayscale. The only slightly better aspect is that due to significant inflows on Monday and Tuesday, the weekly data still shows a net inflow.
From the data of week 77, U.S. ETF institutions had a net inflow of 10,144 ETH, while week 76 showed a net inflow of 9,899 ETH, indicating that ETH's stability is slightly better. A pullback to around 3021.1-2997 can be a buying opportunity, with a target around 3120-3250.
Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific operational advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article has a certain lag. If you have any questions, feel free to consult.
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