The most important thing today is the inflation data.

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Phyrex
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9 hours ago

Today, the most important thing is the inflation data, which is already quite good. The year-on-year CPI and core CPI are both equal to the previous values, and the month-on-month core inflation is lower than expected, indicating that there is indeed a downward trend in inflation. The inflation in November should not only be due to the shutdown; if inflation can continue to decline, it will be helpful for interest rate cuts in 2026. Of course, although the inflation data for December is good, it is still not enough to change the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates unchanged in January.

I can understand the rise in the price of $BTC today, but I suddenly noticed a significant increase in Bitcoin trading volume on Coinbase, while Binance did not see such an increase. This indicates that more American investors are buying in, and the increase in volume is also happening during U.S. hours. Next, we need to look at the ETF data; although today is definitely good, we need to see if the trading volume and ETF can continue to increase.

If that is the case, it is indeed possible that investors' preferences for investment are starting to rise. However, it is still a bit early to confirm this, and we need to observe more, as the overall monetary policy and macro situation have not changed.

Looking back at Bitcoin's data, the turnover rate has increased somewhat, but not dramatically. Recently, investors who have been bottom-fishing have shown strong turnover, but the increase in trading volume indicates that there is indeed an increase in buying interest. Tonight should be the initial review results from the Supreme Court regarding Trump's tariffs, which is quite an important matter. It has been analyzed before, and those interested can take a look.

The chip structure remains very robust, and it has now returned to the fifth support level, which is a good sign, indicating that the support's adhesion still exists. However, the current support is a bit chaotic and needs to stabilize for some time.

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