Silver drew heightened attention as prices pushed sharply higher, raising expectations for further upside while reviving debate over how far the metal could run, whether a long-term bottom is already in place, and when investors should consider taking profits rather than holding through volatility.

Financial analyst David Bird shared the analysis on Jan. 14, writing:

“Silver — A Generational Bottom. Silver just cracked $93. Now the real game begins: timeframes.”

The analyst focused on investor behavior after large gains, emphasizing that execution errors often occur during the holding phase rather than at entry. Outlining a potential near-term turning point, he explained:

“If you’re in this short term, I believe you’re likely to see a top of the wave sometime between February and April.”

“That aligns with seasonality and what I’m seeing on the charts. From there, I’d expect a healthy consolidation—not a crash like many are calling for but likely 6 to 18 months of sideways action. That kind of time-based correction is designed to capitulate people, not destroy price,” he added. The view framed consolidation as a psychological reset instead of a structural breakdown.

Read more: Peter Schiff: Silver Is Running Out — Buy Now Before There’s Nothing Left

Extending the analysis across decades, the analyst referenced historical commodity cycles through the silver-to-Dow ratio, highlighting similarities with periods preceding prolonged advances. He noted: “And in every one of those periods, it wasn’t a one- or two-year move. It was over a decade-long cycle.”

Addressing valuation dynamics, he added, “This is the part many people don’t realise.” He clarified the underlying thesis, stating: “When I got you into silver, it wasn’t a short-term trade. It was a generational bottom. The start of a decade-long commodities boom, not a one- or two-year story.” While acknowledging that extended pauses are likely, he remarked that “there will be multi-year consolidations, and not everyone has the time—or temperament—to sit through those,” before concluding:

“Because we are nowhere near the top. This is not the end of something—it’s the beginning of a major commodities cycle.”

• Why is silver drawing renewed attention from investors?
  Silver prices surged sharply, reviving expectations for further upside and debate over a possible generational bottom.
• What does a “generational bottom” in silver mean?
  It refers to a long-term low that could mark the start of a decade-long commodities cycle.
• When could silver see a near-term pullback?
  The analysis points to a potential short-term top between February and April, followed by consolidation.
• Is silver nearing the top of its cycle?
  The view presented argues silver is still early in a major commodities cycle, not near its peak.

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