The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit to go! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of cryptocurrency enthusiasts. I welcome everyone's attention and likes, and reject any market smoke screens!

Today's article has many innovations, with various news suddenly appearing today. We need a process of analyzing each point, so please be a little patient while watching. First, let’s talk about Lao Cui's articles. Many friends do not make beneficial judgments based on Lao Cui's articles. Most of the time, Lao Cui will provide the recent pressure and support levels. As long as there is no updated content in the articles, it proves that the short-term trend is still operating within this range. In future articles, Lao Cui will focus on sharing real-time information and providing his own judgments. More friends are users trading contracts; you only need to pay attention to the support and pressure levels. Regardless of long or short positions, as long as it is still operating within the range, there is no need for excessive operations. The most critical point is that Lao Cui holds a large amount of spot assets, so he is definitely more of a bullish supporter in terms of trend. Regarding this, users who are short need to be more resolute in their thoughts.

Lao Cui focuses more on spot trading, and the theme of thought is naturally centered on spot trading. Regarding platform mechanism issues, Lao Cui will not elaborate on the logic of specific points but just remind everyone not to randomly stop-loss within the range. Most contract users should try to consult Lao Cui before drawing conclusions. Returning to our trend: Trump claims he is working hard to ensure that the U.S. maintains its status as a cryptocurrency center and hopes to sign a cryptocurrency bill as soon as possible. The emergence of this information clearly shows Trump's urgency; he certainly does not want the cryptocurrency market to remain in a downward trend, which can also be seen from his urgent desire to confirm the Federal Reserve chairman candidate. The emergence of the cryptocurrency bill will definitely benefit dollar assets; this is a complete logical cycle. As long as Trump can promote and implement the process within this year, the trend of the cryptocurrency market will already be defined, which is also Lao Cui's logic for why he has always been optimistic about Bitcoin.

But why does Lao Cui have a bearish mindset in the short term? The EU has terminated its trade agreement with the U.S. due to the Greenland dispute, which is the source of this. The conflict between the U.S. and Europe has escalated to geopolitical conflict. Of course, there will not be military actions, but you need to understand one thing: the rise of the EU cannot be separated from the support of the U.S., and the driving force behind this support is the fear of Russia. The U.S. supports the EU merely to counter the rise of Russia, and at this stage, Putin is aligned with the U.S. Although there will not be military conflicts, there will likely be a round of economic collisions over territory until the EU realizes its own strength. Terminating the trade agreement is not good news for dollar assets; when all markets experience explosive growth, one thing you need to consider is, where is the money coming from? Who is lying? Or who is causing the bubble to inflate?

Between the U.S. and Europe, they are precisely the leaders of the cryptocurrency market, both holding a large amount of cryptocurrency assets. At the same time, the economic growth in both regions requires substantial financial support. The collision of economies means that there will not be too much capital flowing into the cryptocurrency market; instead, it will lead to capital flowing out of the cryptocurrency market. This can directly impact the market value and unit price of cryptocurrencies. This information is the biggest disadvantage for the cryptocurrency market in the short term. As long as either side issues unfavorable news regarding the economy, it will directly affect the short-term trend of the cryptocurrency market. Judging by the current trend, you will find that the cryptocurrency market is extremely entangled. Short-term negative news wants to push the cryptocurrency market down, but every dip sees buyers stepping in. The Central Bank of Iran has purchased over $500 million in cryptocurrency assets to cope with the crisis, and Saylor has bought $2.13 billion in Bitcoin, reaching a nine-month high, all of which are supporting the cryptocurrency market.

Yesterday in the cryptocurrency market, almost all experienced new short-term lows, with Bitcoin hitting a low of 97,263 and Ethereum at 2,864. The rebound after the new lows came quite rapidly, which is enough to show that the differentiation among the giants in the cryptocurrency market is quite serious. Whether it is growth or decline, it is a game of capital; 2026 is no longer the era dominated by grayscale in the cryptocurrency market. During this period, what caught Lao Cui's attention was the updates from the X platform; within ten days, six updates were released, most of which are related to the cryptocurrency industry. Lao Cui briefly mentions: the X platform is developing smart asset tags, expected to launch the V1 version within a month, supporting real-time queries of on-chain minting content; the restriction on crypto-themed tweets has caused dissatisfaction, and Musk announced the open-source platform algorithm to be released on the 20th; these two points confirm Lao Cui's speculation that before the SEC approves its financial license, X can still only focus on its social attributes. It remains to be seen whether the next stage of the license can be issued, and Lao Cui leans towards success. What Musk is doing aligns perfectly with the U.S. strategy.

Lao Cui will dedicate the final part to a question that has been continuously pondered since December; this question is extremely important. Since the end of 2025, the hype around AI has been continuously disturbing the trend of the cryptocurrency market. When Lao Cui first heard this news, he began to think about whether this is hype or an impending reality? Until reports began to emerge, the sources of information continued to flow into Lao Cui's ears, he had to believe this point. The emergence of this news will determine whether the cryptocurrency market will still exist in the future. That is the birth of computing power and operational speed. Jensen Huang, CEO of OpenAI, and Musk have a unified statement that within the next five years, computing power and operational speed will be ten times what it is now. You need to understand that the core of cryptocurrency is encryption, and the improvement in computing power is the biggest shock to the cryptocurrency market. If computing power reaches an unimaginable level, what impact will it have on the cryptocurrency market? That is, your mnemonic phrases could potentially be calculated, is this still safe for everyone? This is not alarmist talk. The increase in computing speed directly threatens all cryptocurrencies that have not been fully calculated; acquiring them will become increasingly simple, which is a fatal blow to the unit price of cryptocurrencies.

Lao Cui summarizes: Almost all the news Lao Cui talks about has evidence to support it, and Lao Cui also does not wish for everyone to have excessive internal strife. Everyone should not change their thinking just because of what Lao Cui says. There are also rumors about Greenland, indicating that an agreement has been reached between the two parties, but specific official news is needed to make a judgment. As long as these two parties do not continue to escalate economic confrontation, the cryptocurrency market will return to a growth range. Users trading contracts should focus on this short-term news. As for the trend aspect, the future survival of the cryptocurrency market should not be something we assess. The real data shows that nearly 1.1 million Bitcoins have been sealed by listed companies, meaning they will be kept as strategic reserves. These issues should be considered by them; we only need to watch when they will release them. Lao Cui's thoughts are also very simple: as long as Trump is in office and continues to promote the cryptocurrency ecosystem, Lao Cui will remain firmly bullish until the year before he leaves office, which is 2027. The original intention of Lao Cui's writing is not to influence everyone's thinking. When reading Lao Cui's articles, try to focus on obtaining news. If it involves your own asset issues, do not use it as a reference. For specific questions, you can directly ask Lao Cui before drawing conclusions. The current volatility in the market mainly stems from Trump's own instability; perhaps he is also in a state of confusion. The current trend of Bitcoin is still within our estimated range, so there is no need to worry. Once it breaks out of the range, Lao Cui will provide you with pressure and support levels.

Original creation by WeChat public account: Lao Cui Talks About Coins. For assistance, please contact directly.

Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can see five, seven, or even more than ten moves ahead, while a novice can only see two or three moves. The master considers the overall situation and strategizes, not focusing on individual pieces or territories, aiming for the ultimate victory. The novice, however, fights for every inch, frequently switching between long and short positions, only competing for short-term gains, resulting in frequent entrapment.

This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading based on this is at your own risk!

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