Bitcoin Bear: After a drop to 1.31 Bitcoin, it has started to rebound, while Ethereum is oscillating around the 2700 mark. Market analysis and thought process explanation.

CN
4 hours ago

Bitcoin Market Analysis

  1. Price Trend and Support Resistance

    • The current price is consolidating around 84000, which is a recent balance point for bulls and bears.

    • The important support level below is 81437.9, where the price previously rebounded after hitting a low.

    • The clear resistance level above is 85000, where the price has attempted to break through multiple times but has not been able to hold.

  2. Moving Average System Signals

    • The short-term moving average (white) is showing an upward turn, while the long-term moving average (blue) is flat, indicating that short-term bullish momentum is gradually accumulating, but the mid-term trend is not yet clear.

    • The lower pink moving average continues to rise, indicating that the current rebound structure from the low has not been broken.

  3. Momentum and Patterns

    • From the candlestick pattern, the price has entered a consolidation phase after a rapid decline, with recent red and green candlestick bodies being relatively small, indicating a temporary stalemate between bulls and bears.

    • The dotted indicator in the chart is also rising along with the price, reflecting that short-term buying momentum is being released gently.

  4. Key Observation Points for the Future

    • Upward Breakout: If the price can break out with volume and stabilize in the 84500-85000 range, it is likely to open up new upward space.

    • Downward Pullback: If it falls below 83000, it will test the strength of the 81437.9 support level. If it fails to hold, the rebound trend may face reversal risks.

    • 📊 Key Price Trading Plan

      1. Bullish Trigger Conditions

      • Entry Signal: Price breaks out with volume above 84500 and stabilizes above 85000.

      • Stop Loss: Set at 83800 (the lower edge of the consolidation range before the breakout).

      • Target: First target at 86000, second target at 88000 (previous resistance level).


      2. Bearish Trigger Conditions

      • Entry Signal: Price effectively breaks below 83000 and confirms the failure of 81437.9 support on a pullback.

      • Stop Loss: Set at 83500 (the upper edge of the consolidation range before the breakdown).

      • Target: First target at 80000 (round number), second target at the previous low of 79000.


      3. Consolidation Range Response Strategy

      • When the current price is oscillating in the 83000-84500 range, it is recommended to mainly observe or engage in short-term operations of buying low and selling high.

      • Sell High: Sell when approaching 84500, with a stop loss set at 84800.

      • Buy Low: Buy when approaching 83000, with a stop loss set at 82700.

      • Ethereum Market Analysis:

        1. Trend and Phase

          • This is a typical mid-term decline + short-term oversold rebound trend. The price has been declining from around 2860, reaching a low of 2633.66 before stabilizing.

          • The current price is consolidating around 2700, in a recovery phase after being oversold, but the mid-term downtrend has not been completely reversed.

        2. Moving Average System Signals

          • Both the long-term moving average (blue) and short-term moving average (white) are showing a downward trend, indicating that mid-term bearish momentum still dominates the market.

          • The lower pink moving average shows signs of flattening after hitting a low, reflecting that buying is starting to enter slightly after the short-term oversold condition, but momentum is still relatively weak.

          • The dotted indicator in the chart has also turned up from a low after following the price down, confirming the short-term rebound demand.

        3. Support and Resistance

          • Key Support: 2633.66 is the recent low and an important defensive level for bulls; the next is the round number 2680.

          • Key Resistance: The recent resistance level above is in the 2720-2740 range (the lower edge of the previous consolidation platform), with stronger resistance at 2760 (moving average resistance level).

        4. Key Observation Points for the Future

          • Upward Repair: If the price can break out with volume above 2740, the rebound space is expected to open up, with the next target being 2760-2780.

          • Re-Test of the Low: If it cannot stabilize above 2700, it may pull back to test the 2633.66 support, or even create a new low.

          • 📊 Trading Plan at the 2700 Level

            1. Bullish Trigger Conditions

            • Entry Signal: Price breaks out with volume above 2720 and stabilizes above 2740.

            • Stop Loss: Set at 2690 (below the 2700 round number).

            • Target: First target at 2760 (moving average resistance), second target at 2780 (previous platform level).


            2. Bearish Trigger Conditions

            • Entry Signal: Price effectively breaks below 2690 and confirms the failure of 2680 support on a pullback.

            • Stop Loss: Set at 2710 (above the 2700 round number).

            • Target: First target at 2650 (near the previous low), second target at 2633.66 (historical low).


            3. Consolidation Range Response Strategy

            • When the current price is oscillating in the 2690-2720 range, it is recommended to mainly observe or engage in short-term operations of buying low and selling high.

            • Sell High: Sell when approaching 2720, with a stop loss set at 2730.

            • Buy Low: Buy when approaching 2690, with a stop loss set at 2680.

            • (Note: 📣 Due to the timeliness and depth limitations of information on public platforms, the market is ever-changing. Key turning points, precise operational strategies, and sudden risk alerts need to be synchronized in real-time on (public account - Bit Bear). Here, you can obtain: real-time strategy push, in-depth analysis support, interactive Q&A, risk warnings, and optimization suggestions for personal positions. 🚨 Remember: The market always rewards those who act faster and have more accurate information! Be a winner among the minority.)

免责声明:本文章仅代表作者个人观点,不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享,不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议,与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权,请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com,本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。

Share To
APP

X

Telegram

Facebook

Reddit

CopyLink