Waking up in the morning, staring at the market, I spent a long time not knowing how to write this analysis. With such a sharp drop and a slow decline, where do the bottom-fishing troops want to go today? If I have to choose, I would rather lie flat than bottom-fish! Lying flat won't make money, but bottom-fishing can easily lead to losses and being liquidated!
Zhong Liang boldly predicts that the bottom of this bearish wave should be around 55,000. Spot prices need to be below 60,000 to start buying, but if the market doesn't rebound, there's no way to chase the shorts, especially since we are currently near the 70,000 mark. After a sharp decline, will there be a sudden surge with a big bullish candle? This is something to be cautious about! Everyone knows the market won't keep falling; it will rise again, but you don't know how low it will go. When the price goes up, you fear that your position is gone…
Bitcoin's daily chart is pressing down on the lower band and continues to decline. The three bands are opening downwards, and the MACD bearish volume continues to increase. The KDJ and RSI are both turning downwards and continuing to decline. The 4-hour chart also shows prices pressing down on the lower band with no signs of a stop in the decline. The hourly chart is the same, so there are no reasons to find a bottom and go long. As I said, the long button has already been pressed; if there's a rebound, go short. If there's no rebound, then observe and wait. Better to miss out than to make a mistake!
For resistance above, pay attention to 72,800, 74,300, and 76,000. Set up shorts around these levels and target 71,000, 70,000, and 69,000 below.
For Ethereum, watch for resistance at 2,180, 2,250, and 2,320. Consider participating in shorts around these levels, targeting 2,130, 2,080, and 2,000 below.
Life is like a clock; it can return to the starting point, but it is no longer yesterday! Every wave of the market is indeed similar, but similarity does not mean the same. Just because you've seen similar market conditions doesn't mean you will sail smoothly from here on out. The worst thing in investing is impatience, and the worst outcome is impulsiveness. When analysis becomes a task and investment becomes a burden, you have already deviated from the path. Facing the fluctuations of candlesticks every day feels like going to battle, turning what was originally elegant into something mundane. Don't walk forward while looking back; otherwise, all you will see is tears and sadness.

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