I. Market Overview This Week

This week, the cryptocurrency market experienced a strong rebound after the previous excessive drop, with the Fear & Greed Index recovering from extreme fear territory. The total market capitalization surged to $2.35 trillion. BTC and ETH saw significant increases simultaneously, with market bullish sentiment rising, ETF funds shifting from net outflows to substantial net inflows, and the derivatives market showing notable activity, marking a transition from weakness to a phase of rebound, thus improving the overall market structure.

On a macro level, global risk appetite showed signs of recovery, with strong technology stocks driving the repair of crypto assets, and market expectations for liquidity softening. In terms of regulation, the global crypto compliance framework is continuously advancing, with the U.S. and Hong Kong hastening the regulatory implementation of stablecoins and tokenized assets, accelerating the industry's standardization process. In the sector, the Ethereum ecosystem and Layer 2 progress are attracting attention, and institutions are increasing their layouts of compliant crypto products. This round of rebound combines both excessive drop recovery and fundamental support, while the long-term trend of institutional development remains unchanged.

II. Core Market Trends and Capital Dynamics

This week, the crypto market witnessed a strong reversal and recovery, with a significant warming of sentiment, a sharp rebound in total market capitalization, mainstream coins soaring, ETF funds reversing from outflows to substantial net inflows, and increases in positions and leverage in the derivatives market, leading to rapid lifts in market risk appetite and officially establishing a stage of rebound.

From the perspective of market sentiment, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index rose from last week's 11 to 16, moving away from extreme fear territory. Market pessimism significantly alleviated, investor confidence was gradually restored, and sentiment shifted from extreme bleakness to weak recovery, with a gathering bullish atmosphere developing.

In terms of core market capitalization, the current total cryptocurrency market capitalization is reported at $2.35 trillion, with a 24-hour increase of 6.45%, ending the previous low consolidation phase. Buying capital concentrated in the market leads to rapid expansion in market capitalization, significantly enhancing market support strength, allowing it to break free from a weak downward trend, with ample rebound momentum.

Specifically, both leading coins, BTC and ETH, displayed strong rebounds, benefiting from a synergistic rise in both short and long-term cycles. BTC's current price is $68,351.00, with a 24-hour increase of 4.78%. There may be some short-term fluctuation and pullback pressure, but mid to long-term sentiment remains bullish, and the trend is gradually strengthening; ETH's current price is $2,072.93, with a 24-hour surge of 9.70%. The rebound strength leads among mainstream assets, though it may require a pullback due to short-term overbought conditions, while the mid to long-term trajectory is within an upward channel, with notable potential for growth. Both coins are strengthening simultaneously, contributing to a general market recovery.

Regarding capital flows, the ETF market has seen a significant turn, with Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs achieving large net inflows, completely ending the previous consecutive net outflow pattern. Institutional funds are flowing back into the crypto market, with financial conditions shifting comprehensively in a favorable direction, providing strong support for this round of rebound, and institutional allocation willingness has notably increased.

The derivatives market is showing a comprehensive recovery, with leverage rising concurrently. The scale of open futures contracts has slightly increased, with demand for hedging and layout both rising; perpetual swap open interest has rebounded significantly, with high-leverage capital swiftly returning, markedly enhancing market trading activity and further strengthening bullish consensus.

In summary, the current cryptocurrency market is in a rebound phase marked by a triple resonance of sentiment, capital, and price action, with mainstream coins leading the way to a holistic market warm-up, while institutional fund inflows and leverage entry create a synergistic effect. In the short term, there may be a need for consolidation due to overbought conditions, but the mid-term rebound trend is clear. Investors should watch for opportunities among mainstream coins while rationally responding to short-term fluctuations.

III. Selected Trading Strategy Rankings

1. High-Yield Strategy Selection

Core Highlights:

1. Extreme winning rate: 100% historical win rate, all trades with no losses, high signal accuracy.
2. Strong profit explosiveness: over 460% actual yield, perfectly suited for high-volatility altcoins like FET.
3. Acceptable risk-reward ratio: Sharpe ratio of 21, achieving good returns and risk balance in high-volatility altcoin strategies.
4. Reasonable trading frequency: 145 trades, moderate strategy execution frequency, accommodates the rotation rhythm of small coins.

Applicable Scenarios:

Suitable for high-risk-tolerant traders seeking high win rates and returns in small coins, specifically designed for altcoins like FET in the AI sector. Particularly well-suited for AI concept speculation and fund rotation, this strategy can serve as a flexible allocation approach for small coins and is not recommended for long-term conservative funds or extreme one-sided downtrends.

2. High-Frequency Trading Strategy Selection

Core Highlights:

1. Top-tier risk-reward ratio: Sharpe ratio of 79, exceptionally outstanding in high-frequency strategies, offering highly attractive returns relative to unit risk.
2. Promising return expectations: AI predicts annualized returns exceeding 30%, with strong long-term compound interest potential, suitable for conservative fund allocation.
3. Adaptable to high liquidity assets: Designed for BTC, ensuring strategy execution efficiency and sustainability due to ample market depth.
4. Moderate withdrawal levels: Maximum withdrawal of 12.15%, within a controllable range for high-frequency strategies, making capital safety relatively prominent.

Applicable Scenarios:

Suitable for medium-risk-tolerant investors seeking low-volatility and stable returns, specifically designed for high liquidity mainstream coins like BTC, adaptable for quantitative arbitrage and swing operations in fluctuating markets. This can serve as a solid baseline strategy for funds, especially suited for those looking to avoid one-sided volatility and pursue stable compound returns, but not recommended for extreme one-sided downward markets.

3. High Stability Strategy Selection

Core Highlights:

1. Extreme winning rate: 100% historical win rate, all trades with no losses, high signal accuracy.
2. Excellent withdrawal control: maximum withdrawal of only 71%, with extremely low volatility in mainstream coin strategies, ensuring capital safety.
3. Notable return elasticity: nearly 80% actual yield, achieving good profit enhancement under low withdrawal conditions.
4. Acceptable risk-reward ratio: Sharpe ratio of 29, realizing good returns and risk balance under low volatility.

Applicable Scenarios:

Suitable for medium-risk-tolerant traders seeking low-volatility and stable returns in mainstream coins, specifically designed for high liquidity mainstream coins like BTC, adaptable for trend and reversal trading in fluctuating markets. This can serve as a robust enhancement strategy for mainstream coin allocations, especially suited for those wanting to avoid extreme volatility and pursue stable returns, but not recommended for extremely conservative long-term funds or extreme one-sided downtrends.

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IV. 24h Top Gainers and Losers

Top 5 Gains:

Top 5 Losses:

V. Conclusion

This week, the cryptocurrency market achieved a rebound marked by a triple resonance of sentiment, capital, and price action, shifting the market structure from weak consolidation to strong recovery, with mainstream coins leading the way to a comprehensive warm-up. Institutional fund inflows and increased market activity create a positive cycle. Industry compliance construction and technological iteration are progressing steadily, while the foundations for long-term development continue to solidify. Future attention should be paid to the breakthrough of key resistance levels for BTC and ETH, signals of continued ETF fund inflows, and macro liquidity trends. In the medium term, focus on opportunities in mainstream public chains, Layer 2, and compliant tokenization tracks. In the short term, remain vigilant for consolidation following overbought conditions, manage positions appropriately, and seize the rebound momentum. Stay tuned to this column for the latest market interpretations and strategy analyses.

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