Brothers, it's serious now, something big has happened, the big beautiful one has started attacking Iran. Just one second ago, social media was boasting that Iran surrendered, submitted nuclear materials, and peace was coming. The next second, everything flipped, Israel bombed Iran, and the big beautiful one started fighting in sync, a clear joint operation!

The American side itself said: this attack is much bigger than last year's, and Israel was even more direct: the first phase is 4 days of intense bombardment. Brothers, do you understand? It means a lightning war, a quick battle without dragging out a protracted war.

As soon as this news came out, the global market immediately crashed. The U.S. stock market dropped first, gold and oil prices surged, Bitcoin and Ethereum plummeted with a big red candle. On this big weekend, Bitcoin smashed through 64,000 in just a few minutes, hitting a low of 63,500, a drop of over 6%. Ethereum fared even worse, crashing to 1850, nearly a 9% drop in a single day, completely stunning people.

What's even more painful is the contracts: nearly 500 million dollars in liquidations within 24 hours, over 150,000 people were liquidated, with 90% of them being long positions.

One liquidation was 11.17 million dollars; in this kind of market, leverage is life-threatening.

Now the big sharks tell the brothers the key points: this sell-off is not just a temporary failure of technicals, but rather an emotional breakdown. Why did it drop so hard? There are several reasons:

First, whenever there is a war in the Middle East, funds flee to safe havens, high-risk assets are sold off first. Then, the big beautiful one had a January PPI that exceeded expectations, with non-farm payrolls and CPI both strong, leading to a significant delay in the Fed's rate cut expectations, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising to 4.06%. Next, Bitcoin spot ETFs experienced continual net outflows for several months, with January alone seeing 3.5 billion dollars flow out, and a cumulative total exceeding 3.7 billion dollars. Institutions like Harvard have reduced their Bitcoin holdings by 21%, as institutions are already fleeing with the macro environment weak, interest rate hike expectations still not down, and then a war breaking out, adding insult to injury. Finally, once key levels are broken, algorithmic stop-loss orders flood the market, causing more and more liquidations as prices drop.

After this sharp drop, the likely scenario is to first kill leverage and then rebound to repair emotions. Of course, after this wave of emotions, we won’t know the outcome until next Monday at the earliest, followed by back-and-forth sweeping and grinding. Currently, Bitcoin is around 63,700, and the downtrend isn’t over yet. There is support around 62,500, but if the U.S.-Iran conflict escalates further and Bitcoin breaks below 62,000, it could continue testing the 60,000 support level, which is highly likely. If Bitcoin falls to around 60,000, then Ethereum will likely plunge to the key level of 1,800. The key now is whether the conflict is a short-term lightning war; panic usually peaks in 1-3 days and then gradually recovers. However, if it turns into a full-scale war and blocks shipping routes, that will be a different story.

The current operational strategy that the big sharks believe is: first control risk, then talk about opportunities!

Although chasing shorts now has a high probability of earning profits, it is necessary to avoid high leverage and heavy positions. If you have followed the big shark's articles this week, since the article on the 25th, the rebounds have all been tricks; the bears have not left yet! From the beginning, the big shark’s consistent view has been a bearish trend. Especially when the market made a 10% rebound and the price reached around 70,000, I repeatedly emphasized that the strategy should be focused on high shorts and provided specific entry points. Although there was a sudden war black swan event, it basically still conformed to my expected trend.

I share this with the brothers not to prove how impressive the big shark is, but because I've seen too many naive individuals in the market, coming in with dreams of getting rich, making chaotic trades in confusion without logic or opinions, following the crowd to chase highs and cut lows, and then unknowingly losing all the money in their accounts, eventually having to leave sadly.

Whenever I see these situations, it strengthens my desire to write and share, because I know how hard many coin friends work for the money they invest. Some is money earned from factory jobs, some from running delivery every day, and some are even borrowed to trade coins. It's heartbreaking to see this hard-earned money ruthlessly harvested by the market. If my analysis can help even a small portion of those losing money, I feel it is a very meaningful and happy thing.

If you can see this and feel that the big shark's articles are helpful to you, I hope you can give a follow or a like. As the saying goes, “A gift of a rose leaves a lingering fragrance.” When the heart blooms like a lotus, blessings will come naturally. Your casual action can spread the article further. Well, that’s all for today. In the end, remember this: when others panic, don’t panic along with them; not losing is winning; surviving means you can still eat meat.

#USIsraelAttacksIran#AnthropicUSGovernmentControversy#JaneStreetSellingAt10#CryptoMarketRebound#TrendingTopics

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