Old Cui says about coins: There are no new lows in the coin circle, how to layout contracts and spot?

CN
12 hours ago

The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for benefits! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui, focusing on cryptocurrency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable currency market information to the majority of coin friends. Welcome to the attention and likes of all coin friends, rejecting any market smoke bombs!


After talking about trends and short-term cooperation, plus the range has not shown obvious breaks, discussing the trend again feels somewhat like reheating leftovers. Today, let’s talk about some practical applications. Many friends have doubts about Lao Cui’s articles or his personal profit methods. They all feel that Lao Cui explains the trend aspect so thoroughly, even directly giving entry points in some articles; if these conditions are given to everyone, what else do users need Lao Cui for? It's actually not hard to understand. A considerable part of the users who find Lao Cui is that even if he gives personal insights, they find it difficult to profit. Where is the problem? Most contract users do not have their own trading system, and spot users' understanding is generally higher than that of contract users. What exactly is a trading system? How should a trading system be constructed? Facing the current market, how should everyone respond? This is a question that everyone should consider.


The first step in establishing a trading system is to manage your positions well. Most users’ losses actually come from poor position management. There are many fresh examples at hand; in December 2025 and the recent January, Lao Cui has given a direction, which is a decline. For contract users, Lao Cui has been more straightforward, stating that entering at the current price and holding for a month would lead to profits. With the approach of the new year, Lao Cui also asked this batch of users, none of them were in profit. Even at the end of last year, Lao Cui had assisted several smaller users, the smallest being less than 1KU, but they were lucky, having made almost no mistakes. The outcome is difficult to say. Even with everything right, this user still ended up being liquidated. In the beginning, there are always beautiful promises, but when it comes to controlling oneself, one tends to listen only to their own heart. Every day upon waking up, the information received is always about being trapped from yesterday, and the feedback given to Lao Cui is always about untrapping orders, which ultimately led to their own demise.

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True masters win by managing their positions. In the stock market, position management is the most overlooked yet deadliest aspect. Many people lose money not because they can't pick stocks, nor because the market is too bad, but because their positions are impulsive—fully in, panicking after a day of decline; empty, regretting after dodging a two-day rise. In simple terms, position is your "survival system" in the market. Without position management, even the best logic is just a castle in the air. Those who understand how to control their positions may not earn every day, but they can definitely survive longer; those who don’t understand position management, regardless of how accurate their judgment is, will eventually lose to their emotions. This is always true in the stock market, and position management in the cryptocurrency space is even stricter. Due to the more critical speculative nature, cryptocurrency fluctuations often see around 30% volatility in response to news; one wave hasn’t settled before another arises. Even if Lao Cui provides directional strategies, they are often blown up during the holding process. How to avoid this? It’s just a matter of controlling emotions.


For those observing Lao Cui's articles, position management when entering the market is actually very simple. In a stable market, Bitcoin’s fluctuation must be strictly controlled above the liquidation point of ten thousand; leverage can be ignored, but the liquidation point must be emphasized. The liquidation position for Ether must be controlled above 300 points. Upon reaching a certain position, one must also learn to lock in positions, regardless of how the market fluctuates, regardless of how convinced one is; this is something that must be done. For example, in the previous discussions about range fluctuations, everyone should manage their positions accordingly when entering. Even if the Ether long position is around 2000, everyone could profit upon exiting. So why do people incur losses when the trend is correct? Everyone must learn to summarize and, if there are questions, also learn to consult. The indicators of candlestick charts only need one understanding. The current trend is predominantly news-driven, so it can be said that candlestick charts play a very limited role.


Those who are overly emotional are not suitable for the cryptocurrency space, and should avoid the entire financial industry as well. Many market fluctuations are traps for you, and most users incur losses while chasing. For example, Lao Cui mentioned previously how the impact of news could lead to recovery; a user’s feedback during this recovery process mentioned shorting, a move that Lao Cui found difficult to comprehend. Coupled with the time lag of news, local coverage of the Iranian situation is generally delayed. Yesterday, Lao Cui also talked about this issue; Khamenei's confirmation from Trump occurred around ten at night, while the cryptocurrency market started moving from around nine, and local reports emerged around six in the morning. You chased into a short position at four in the morning without clarity on the situation; stopping was the most appropriate action. Even when news broke locally, entering long positions still had over a hundred points of recovery space. Why enter short positions?


Judgment on news needs to be integrated with the overall financial logic. Why did Khamenei's disappearance lead to a rise in the cryptocurrency market? Why did it lead to fluctuations in gold? Why did Iran's legal currency depreciate rapidly? This is the underlying logic in forming a trading system, and it is what you need to learn—not fixating on candlesticks or obsessively reconstructing theoretical knowledge. If candlestick theory could let everyone profit, then the world's richest should be those university professors. Understand what you lack, and then invest in what is missing; this is your method for compensation. Therefore, building a trading system requires complete position management, combined with stable emotions, which is also what Lao Cui often mentions about self-verification. There must be a process of self-verification; a trading system without a verification process cannot identify problems. If liquidation occurs during the building process, it definitely means that position needs to be adjusted; and if this verification process cannot be completed, then it is a problem of emotional control.


Lao Cui’s provided trends and points are generally profitable. Users who fail to achieve profits or face liquidation surely have their own issues. In facing the current market situation, everyone can try Lao Cui’s trading system. Whether long or short, everyone can test Levmore-style position management. Enter the first position with 10%, the second with 20%, the third with 30%, and the final position with 40%; this ratio cannot be adjusted, and the last position must exceed the rates of the first three positions. At the same time, the last position plays a decisive role; whether you can profit entirely depends on whether the last position can enter and whether it enters at the right place. The current price of Ether is around 1950, so the first position will be at the current price of 1950, the second position can be supplemented at 1890-1900, the third position is around 1800-1850, and the last position will be entered once it breaks the new low of 1736. In alignment with the overall movement, even if a new low appears, everyone’s average price will maintain around 1780-1800; as long as Ether rebounds, even a rise of fewer than 50 points could lead to profits, allowing you the ability to withdraw at any time.


Lao Cui summarizes: The above is the situation of Ether spot. If you want to do contracts, this method cannot be replicated. The conflict between Iran and Israel can basically be declared the biggest bearish news on the surface of the cryptocurrency market; this conflict has not led to new lows. If one wants to see new lows later, even harsher bearish news than the current situation must appear. So, what bearish conditions could cause new lows? Is it BlackRock's sell-off? Or the US stock market breaking link, or Trump suddenly changing his attitude towards the cryptocurrency market? You don’t need to look at domestic influences; the domestic scene has almost no impact on the cryptocurrency space. Or is there a larger military conflict? Among the aforementioned conditions, only military actions are possible, as it’s hard for other aspects to emerge this year. Therefore, under the affirmation of this condition, we only need to guard against news about military actions and Trump’s stance to operate contracts. As long as there are no significant news events, we can build range fluctuations. Taking the daily line as a reference, shorts on previous highs and longs on new lows with stop losses are what you should do now. Remember, always stop loss on small positions to avoid losses, and wait for the market to stabilize before entering.


Original creation WeChat Official Account: Lao Cui Talks about Currency. For assistance, feel free to contact directly.

Lao Cui's message: Investing is like chess; masters can see five, seven, or even more than ten moves ahead, while novices can only see two or three steps. The skilled consider the overall situation, strategize for the future, not valuing single pieces or spaces, focusing on winning the game, while novices contend for every inch, frequently switch between long and short, competing for short-term gains, and end up frequently trapped.

This material is for learning and reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trade at your own risk!

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