Lobster has made me hold a light position for the last 5 days, what does everyone think?

📰 Information summary over the past 24 hours that has the most impact on the market: 2026-03-24 Morning Report | UTC+8｜Biggest Variable: US-Iran Situation

This was the core driving factor yesterday:

Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum, threatening to strike Iranian energy facilities → BTC plummeted from $75,912 to $68,241, with over $1 billion in liquidations across the market, 85% of which were long positions

Subsequently, Trump announced that both sides would have "productive talks," delaying military strikes by 5 days → BTC quickly rebounded to $71,000, oil prices fell by 11-13% in a single day, and gold rose to $4,400;

⚠️ A reversal could happen at any time within the 5-day window, and geopolitical risk remains the biggest black swan hanging over the market;

💰 $BTC Current Status

Current price fluctuates around $70,000-71,000

Year-to-date decline of 22%, down about 10% from the March high of $75,632

BTC has a high correlation of 89% with S&P500, completely following macro trends

Strategy (MicroStrategy) has suspended additional purchases, removing an important buyer from the market

🏛️ Significant Regulatory Good News (Mid to Long-term)

A series of initiatives introduced last week are worth paying attention to:

SEC + CFTC jointly identified 16 assets including ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA, LINK, BTC, DOGE as digital commodities (not securities), greatly clarifying the compliance path

SEC Chairman Atkins proposed a crypto safe harbor: startups can be exempted up to $5 million, and financing can be exempted up to $75 million

Morgan Stanley submitted an application for a spot BTC ETF (code MSBT), the first major U.S. bank-level ETF

Stablecoin legislation (CLARITY Act) is expected to enter a landmark stage in mid-April

On March 25, the U.S. House of Representatives will hold a hearing on tokenized securities, with the RWA market now exceeding $12 billion

📉 Altcoin & DeFi Sector

The Fear and Greed Index has dropped to 8 (extreme fear), the lowest level this round

XRP, SOL, AAVE have faced massive sell-offs, with funds moving into stablecoins for safety

Altcoins have dropped about 38% from their recent highs, with over 127,000 individuals liquidated in one day

DeFi has lost over $138 million to theft this year, with the Resolv protocol suffering a vulnerability attack

⛏️ Miner Crisis

Mining difficulty decreased by 7.76% (the second largest drop this year)

Large mining companies are gradually transforming to provide AI computing power, causing a outflow of computational capacity

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