1. News: The regulatory door is fully opened, and the macro game enters a stalemate
1. Fannie Mae’s “century-level” assistance
Dynamic: The U.S. mortgage giant Fannie Mae officially announced the acceptance of crypto assets (BTC and USDC) as mortgage collateral.
This is not just about buying a house; it is a sign that crypto assets have officially entered the "blood" of the mainstream U.S. financial system. This means that the compliance and collateral value of mainstream assets like ETH are backed by government-related institutions, and the long-term consensus base is once again elevated.
2. The "tug-of-war" of geopolitics and interest rates
Dynamic: Trump delays strikes on Iranian energy facilities, causing oil prices to retreat; meanwhile, major global central banks like the Bank of England maintain a high interest rate expectation of 3.75%, postponing rate cuts.
Short-term risk aversion sentiment has eased somewhat due to “ceasefire expectations,” which is favorable for risk appetite recovery; however, the high interest rate environment still tightens global liquidity, leading to ETH facing obstacles despite the favorable conditions.
2. Technical analysis: A "limit reversal" game on the 30-minute level
1. "Golden pit" recovery after being oversold
The price experienced a rapid drop and soon rallied after hitting 2032.
Analysis: This wave precisely wiped out leveraged stop-loss positions near 2050. Currently, the price is fluctuating near 2061, attempting to regain stability above the crocodile line's lip line.
2. Indicators’ "counterattack"
TD Indicator: Just completed a red TD9 sequence along with the oversold exhaustion signal of TD13, currently initiating a rebound recovery.
KDJ/RSI: RSI has turned up from the oversold zone near 20, and KDJ is also building momentum with a golden cross at a low level. This indicates that the short-term short-selling force has exhausted, and the bulls are regaining initiative.
3. Key resistance and support levels
Strong Support; 2030 - 2050
Short-term Resistance; 2100 (round number) and 2128 (MA120 moving average position)
Specific operation suggestions
Entry reference: Enter near 2045-2060
Stop-loss:Below 2020 (set below yesterday's spike low)
First target:2128 (MA120 moving average resistance level)
Today's thought process is simple: 'Don't look at indicators being oversold, only look at shrinking volume'. > The spike at 2032 was deep, indicating that there are significant players buying below. We're not rushing to jump in today; let’s wait for it to stabilize above 2065, then we'll proceed with a safety net at 2020.
Free to receive TV long and short support indicators
免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。
