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I completely agree with what Kitty said.

CN
Phyrex
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3 hours ago
AI summarizes in 5 seconds.

Completely agree with what Kitty said, the focus should be on oil and debt.

Now oil is no longer just an American issue; the whole world is facing the problem of rising oil prices brought on by the conflict between Iran and the United States. If this continues, we might revert to a situation of rising inflation in most countries globally.

And debt is even more troublesome, especially under the current circumstances in the United States.

A decline in short-term U.S. Treasury yields generally indicates two possibilities:

1. U.S. inflation is falling, and the Federal Reserve actively reduces interest rates.

2. The U.S. economy is in recession, and the Federal Reserve is forced to reduce interest rates.

😂 In the current situation, it feels like the probability of 2 is a bit higher.

Because long-term U.S. Treasury yields are rising, this indicates that investors do not believe the Federal Reserve can smoothly and quickly reduce interest rates; instead, there might be a more complicated situation ahead, resembling concerns about stagnation and inflation.


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