Trading Direction (Long): Light position to gamble on rebounds, strictly forbidden to hold positions against the trend
Action: Based on the TD9 signal, you can lightly position to gamble on a short-term rebound in the 2050 - 2060 range, target 2100
Wait for the price to pull back and be blocked near 2100, then follow the rhythm of the large players to enter short positions.
Hold Long Positions
Position Strategy: Take profit or reduce positions in the range of 2080 - 2100 based on the slight rebound brought by the current TD9.
Stop-loss point: Firmly set at 1980. Once it breaks below 2000, the downside space will directly open up to the $1,800 area.
Hold Short Positions
Currently at the TD9 bottom, it is not recommended to add short positions at this time. It is suggested to take profit on part of the position near 2050, lock in profits, and guard against oversold rebounds.
Key Support: 2000 (psychological barrier), 1937 (previous spike low)
Core Resistance: 2100, 2166
News: Bearish sentiment is venting, large players' gambling is intensifying
Large player "pension whale" is crazily opening shorts: This address (pension-usdt.eth) has continuously opened large short ETH positions four times in the past day, with a cumulative opening volume exceeding 30,000 ETH (total value about 65 million USD), indicating an extremely bearish attitude of top players towards the short-term trend.
Geopolitical and macro pressure: Trump's remarks about the war task in Iran have triggered sharp fluctuations in safe-haven assets. The US dollar index rises, gold and silver plummet, and ETH moves in tandem with BTC, breaking through important psychological thresholds.
Bottom-fishing index signal (bullish): The ahr999 index has fallen to 0.4908, entering the historic "bottom-fishing range," which typically indicates that the current price level has entered the systematic investment area for long-term investors.
Technical Aspect: Low-level fluctuations, TD9 rebound signals appear
Current Price: About 2066
Trend Shape: After two waves of rapid declines, the price is currently weakly consolidating in the 2040 - 2070 range, attempting to correct the deviation caused by the previous sharp decline.
TD Indicator: A clear TD9 (green) bottom signal has appeared in the chart. In technical analysis, this usually means that bearish momentum is temporarily exhausted, and there is a demand for a rebound or correction of 3-5 K-line cycles in the short term
Moving Average System (MA): MA24 (2057) is entangled with the price, with strong resistance above at MA120 (2089). If it cannot volume up and stabilize above 2100, the overall bearish structure is unchanged.
Risk Warning and Response Plan
Hacker Dump Risk: If 129,000 stolen ETH is directly sold in the secondary market, it will trigger a liquidity crisis. Response: Pay attention to on-chain address dynamics; if there are large deposits into exchanges, immediately liquidate long positions.
Geopolitical Situation Sudden Changes: Fluctuations around the opening of US stocks in the evening are usually large. Response: Try not to engage in heavy position gambling during this time.
免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。
