Operation Direction and Position Suggestions
[No Position]
Strategy: Wait for a pullback confirmation. You can attempt to take a small position for a short rebound around 67500 - 67800 (near MA120)
[Long Position]
Action: Adjust the stop loss to 68000. If the price pulls back to around 69500 and cannot hold, it is recommended to reduce positions to avoid a second bottom test after TD9.
[Short Position]
Strategy: Continue to hold, set the take profit at 67500. If the price breaks through 69600 with volume, decisive stop loss is required.
Key Levels:
Resistance Levels: 69400, 70300
Support Levels: 68100, 67500
News Front
Macro and Geopolitical: The initial panic triggered by Trump's remarks on the Iran war has been partially digested, but his mentions of "building the strongest economy in history" and "pressure in the energy market" keep the market with high volatility expectations.
Institutions and Regulation: Morgan Stanley submitted the latest BTC ETF (MSBT) S-1 amendment, indicating that traditional institutions are steadily advancing their positions.
On-chain and Whales: Continued selling pressure: In the past 24 hours, 5071 BTC flowed into exchanges, and there were signs of "quiet selling" with two spot orders over $6.9 million.
Technical Analysis (Based on 30 Minutes)
Trend Formation: *The price experienced a setback after hitting a high of 70309, currently fluctuating around 68500.
TD9 (red) is a top signal, followed by the market entering a phase of subtle decline and repair.
Moving Averages: The price has currently broken below MA24 (purple, 69375) and MA52 (blue, 68608), showing that short-term bullish momentum has temporarily weakened. Strong support is near MA120 (green, 67735).
Risk Warning
"Painting Door" Risk: Large whales' short positions remain unsettled, caution is required for a sudden volume bomb after the price rebounds to resistance levels.
ETF Data Delay: If tonight's ETF net outflow data exceeds expectations, BTC may test the support at 66000.
Free Trial of TV Long and Short Support Indicator
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