Thunder is loud, but the raindrops are small; yesterday's contract exited perfectly. This has resulted in today's barrage of news being almost entirely for contract users. Regarding predictions on the news front, Old Cui is also not accurate; it’s just that news needs to be speculated on before it arrives, and one cannot wait for the news to happen. For users who only take 500-1000 points, profit-taking has already occurred at this stage, and further elaboration on this trade will no longer be provided. Today, I will explain the next trade, but first, let's set the tone for the mid-term trend. What was envisioned yesterday has actually already come true; before the ceasefire, Trump had already targeted the largest oil export location in Iran. At this stage, it’s simply a matter of wanting to know whether this ceasefire news is genuine. Old Cui also cannot judge; however, according to predictions from authoritative institutions, the probability of this ceasefire has instead decreased to 37%, meaning the likelihood of continuing the war is greater. Old Cui currently supports this probability prediction; the negotiation conditions coming from Iran are still too harsh and not favorable for Trump’s mid-term elections.

As for the mid-term trend in the cryptocurrency market, Old Cui tentatively believes that bearish advantages are greater, but everyone needs to keep a close eye on Trump's subsequent remarks, as the uncertainty is too high. In the short term, however, the situation is more certain. With the temporary cessation of hostilities, the financial market is becoming more stable, while Morgan Stanley is preparing to launch Bitcoin ETF trading tomorrow. This event can influence the short-term trend, with more bullish factors. In the short term, bulls still occupy an absolute advantage. Again, I remind you that the arrival of news must be speculated on before it happens; waiting for the news to occur will not provide you with entry opportunities after it happens. Recently, a piece of news that can impact the long-term perspective has emerged; South Korea requires exchanges to verify assets every 5 minutes. This pathway aligns with our prior predictions; the more legitimate and compliant it is, the deeper the restrictions on the cryptocurrency circle will be. This also raises Old Cui’s considerations on the long-term perspective: is the stablecoin bill really beneficial news for the cryptocurrency sector? Everyone can ponder this together.

Old Cui summarizes: Currently, Old Cui is trying to shorten the article's word count for quality while also paving the way for other platforms, many of which require a word count. Today's trend will form short-term impacts with the arrival of the ceasefire news, but this short-term is supported by subsequent bullish news, namely Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF going live tomorrow; therefore, Old Cui's definition is that a new round of news is arriving. Yesterday’s matters should not linger, and the cryptocurrency market will return to the bullish side. It needs to be reminded that Yi Lihua thinks this way too; this is what Old Cui is most worried about—standing with him is generally not a good thing. A consensus on thinking will lead to a temporary upward trend from ceasefire, but it’s not a reversal of the trend; a reversal can only await the results of Trump’s visit to China. Do not short just because you see high positions today; consider the bullish advance at low positions. Finally, I remind you that the ETF launch is not an immediate result of fund aggregation. Instead, it is the preparatory funds for regular investments in spot and Bitcoin derivatives. But this is indeed a bullish news piece. Today's layout is a response to yesterday’s pressure position, with strong pressure resistance near the high: around 70300. Once the trend reverses, everyone can directly stop-loss and wait for the trend impact to conclude before entering the market again. As long as it does not fall below the 70300 level, you can enter long positions; if it breaks below, just leave. The profit positions are similarly 500-1000 points, and the high position of 72000 cannot be blocked. Users who do not wish to hold overnight positions can only proceed this way.

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