After discussing the pressure at the 74000 mark yesterday, we took a strong surge to break through the 76000 mark, currently in a phase of rising then adjusting, fluctuating around 74500. Let’s first discuss the news aspect; it was revealed yesterday that the next round of negotiations between the US and Iran is approaching. Trump stated to the media on April 13 that Iran proactively contacted the US side that morning, saying that Iran is “eager to reach an agreement.” Additionally, it was indicated that the ceasefire agreement on April 21 is expected to be extended, so the military developments are considered a short-term positive for finance. The key driver is Nikita Bier, head of X products and advisor to the Solana ecosystem, who announced that X has launched the Cashtags feature on iPhones in the US and Canada, supporting real-time stock and cryptocurrency prices. Users can check asset price charts and discussions by searching or posting Cashtags without leaving the platform. Moreover, X is piloting an integration with Canadian brokerage Wealthsimple, allowing Canadian users to trade directly on the Cashtags page. This is the news we focused on in March, which is currently being implemented.

US Treasury Secretary Besant stated that Trump's tariff levels may revert to prior levels before the Supreme Court overturned several imposed orders by early July. After the Supreme Court ruled that Trump's use of emergency powers to impose early tariffs was unconstitutional, Besant is seeking to rebuild the "tariff wall" through authorized measures like the 301 investigation. He also mentioned that the US economy remains strong, expecting a growth rate exceeding 3% or even 3.5% this year. Besant considers the continuous decline in core inflation to be a positive sign and stated that the Federal Reserve's judgments on inflation issues contain errors, and interest rates may need further reductions. This news releases two signals; one is an increased probability of interest rate cuts, and another, which many friends might not have considered, is that a suppression of US inflation means that dollar assets will appreciate. Previously, it had already been equated that dollar assets are equivalent to those in the crypto sphere. This kind of news likely affects not just the short-term trend.

Old Cui summarizes: the short-term heavyweight positive news is the nomination of the next Federal Reserve Chairman, Waller, who disclosed holding cryptocurrency assets, which is also an injection of confidence into the crypto circle. This series of measures was already mentioned by Old Cui last month; in the future, positive news will be released more frequently; this is also a sign of the early stage of a bull market. The period of hands changing among investors is the best opportunity for everyone to get involved. The main wave of this bull market will also certainly be based within the interest rate cut cycle, which are the three months we forecasted: June, September, and December. Currently, what spot users need to do is simply to enter and prepare before these three months. The short-term trend for contract users has also become clear. Without military aspect influences, the bulls will hold a dominant position, having also touched a high of 76000 yesterday, which is the estimated pressure position we mentioned earlier. A new round of market action has arrived, where going long is the main tone of today; since 74000 has not been broken, it’s feasible to enter long positions based on the current price. Keep in mind that the gains should still be maintained at 500-1000 points, and whether we can reach eighty thousand this time is also crucial. Old Cui emphasizes once again that this bearish market low has been set, so do not expect new lows!

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