Today (April 16, 2026), SILVER/USDC perpetual contract is quoted at $79.291, a slight decline of 0.14%. According to Hyperliquid data, after hitting a low of $61.194 at the end of March, silver has executed a textbook-level V-shaped rebound, having risen nearly 30%. The price is firmly above the short- to mid-term EMAs, with increasing trading volume, and the MACD momentum continuing upward — this is not an ordinary rebound, but a strong buy signal confirmation before the start of the main upward wave!
The core news breakdown over the past three days reveals the "code" for this round of silver opportunities: EMA bullish arrangement + MACD golden cross + geopolitical easing + sixth year of structural deficit + stagflation environment, a quadruple resonance has formed. When the trend is clear, the selection of tools becomes crucial — start your Hyperliquid trading journey at AiCoin now, with one-click authorization, lightning order placement, and visual take profit and stop loss to seize this opportunity!
1. Technical Analysis: EMA Bullish Arrangement + MACD Golden Cross + Volume Confirmation, Buy Point Near 79 Has Appeared
The candlestick chart shows that from March 14 to today, silver first deep corrected to 61.194 and then quickly surged, recently peaking at 80.47.
- EMA System: EMA(10) is approximately 79.755, EMA(40) is approximately 78.989, EMA(250) is approximately 75.898. The price is firmly above all short- to mid-term moving averages, with EMA(10) and EMA(40) golden cross diverging upward, and the long-term EMA flattening out no longer suppressing the price. This is a perfect bullish arrangement, consistent with the "strong confirmation" in the HYPE analysis.
- MACD Indicator: DIF at 0.316 is above DEA at 0.257, with MACD bars at 0.118 and expanding, indicating clear positive momentum with no top divergence.
- Trading Volume: Volume is approximately 69.95M, estimated transactions are 71.36M, with MA(4) and MA(12) around 73M. Volume increased on price rises and decreased on declines, indicating a healthy market, validating the authenticity of the rebound.
Technical Conclusion: The area around 79 is an excellent secondary confirmation buy point. Short-term resistance is at 80.40-82.00, with a target of 85-87 after breaking through; support is at 78.00-75.89. Once the price stabilizes above 80.40, the main upward wave will officially start.
2. Macroeconomic and News Resonance: US-Iran Negotiations + Supply Deficit + Stagflation Expectations, Full Fuel
In the past 72 hours, the positive news has been highly concentrated, perfectly resonating with the technical rebound:
- Geopolitical Easing Drive: New progress in US-Iran peace negotiations, with hopes for an extended ceasefire, a potential agreement could ease the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices have retraced, and the US dollar index has fallen to a six-week low, directly benefiting precious metals. On April 16, silver prices briefly surged to 80.40, motivated by this news.
- Supply Shortage Structural Benefit: Reports from the Silver Institute and Metals Focus indicate that the silver market is heading towards a sixth consecutive year of structural deficit. Since 2021, 760 million ounces of inventory have been drawn, resulting in significant warehouse squeeze risks. Even with a slight decrease in industrial demand, physical premiums remain strong, and Chinese buying is robust.
- Support from Macroeconomic Background: The IMF's April 14 report downgraded global growth to 3.1% and raised inflation to 4.4%, making the stagflation environment most beneficial for precious metals. The Federal Reserve is cautiously monitoring inflation, with interest rate cut expectations rebounding, and the gold-silver ratio compressing to 60.6, indicating silver outpacing gold.
News Conclusion: Geopolitical risk easing + weak dollar + sixth year of deficit, with a triple fuel combination, far exceeds single technical drives, providing strong impetus for the main upward wave of silver.
3. Trading Opportunities and Strategy Deployment: Seize the Silver Layout Window with One Click at AiCoin
Opportunity Rating: Medium to high, bullish bias, with a higher probability of a short-term main upward wave.
Risk Control Reminder: Repeated negotiations or a dollar rebound may test levels of 75-73. High volatility, with individual positions not exceeding 10-15% of total fund.
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