KELP rsETH BACKING SCENARIOS FROM LLAMARISK
1. Full socialization
• Mainnet and L2s are treated equally
• Backing loss: 15.12%
• Aave's bad debt: $123,708,727
• Umbrella covers $54,060,000 only of mainnet losses (60%)
2. Losses isolated to L2s
• Mainnet retains full value, L2s take the loss
• Backing loss: 26.46%
• Aave's bad debt: $230,113,582 (only L2s)
3. Aave coverage plans:
• DAO holds $181m ($62m in eth-correlated, $54m in Aave, $52m in stablecoins)
• 80% of ETH in umbrella has requested a withdrawal
• Llamarisk suggested pausing the module. Withdrawals cannot be finalized while paused
• If losses are passed onto L2, umbrella would not be used
• A point to consider is that when there's a liquidation and utilization is 100%, the fallback is to receive aWETH instead, which keeps the liquidator’s capital in the reserve until utilization drops.
This is dependant on what Kelp decides and negotiates with L0
Source: governance[.]aave[.]com/t/rseth-incident-report-april-20-2026/24580 @LlamaRisk



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