The benefit of shorting WTI on a cryptocurrency platform is the high leverage, while the downside is the funding rate.
The advantage of shorting WTI through a broker or traditional futures account is the lower costs and prices that are closer to the actual crude oil futures market, while the downside is the lower leverage.
If it's just a short-term game, for example, judging that the risk premium in the Strait of Hormuz has been overvalued, then the advantage of a cryptocurrency platform lies in its flexibility, speed, and high leverage, making it suitable for capitalizing on a wave of sentiment recovery.
However, if it is a medium to long-term judgment, such as thinking that oil prices cannot stay above $120 or $130, then a broker or traditional futures account is actually more suitable.
Especially in a cryptocurrency platform, if the funding rate remains persistently high, even if the final judgment on direction is correct, it could be gradually eroded in the process.
Setting the liquidation price around $138 is actually a smart move. Because the historical highest price for WTI is around $147 from 2008. Breaking through this historical high is not easy.
Once oil prices enter the range of $120, $130, or $140, demand destruction will occur quickly, leading to compressed consumption in aviation, shipping, chemicals, and gasoline, while rising inflation will force central banks to become more hawkish, ultimately hitting the economy and crude oil demand.
In the latest survey, although analysts have raised their oil price forecasts, the expected average price for WTI in 2026 is still only $80.07 per barrel, indicating that the mainstream baseline scenario is still not one of long-term breakouts above historical highs.
I have always been bearish, and there is no problem shorting WTI, but it is essential to have a relatively high liquidation price as a safeguard.
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