Finally, WTI has come down a bit. What is particularly rare this time is that Iran has actively proposed negotiation conditions, and even though Trump's attitude is not very good, Iran has also indicated that it can be revised again. It seems that the previous assumption that neither the U.S. nor Iran is willing to continue fighting was not an incorrect judgment. The current focus should be on the issue of Iran's nuclear weapons. This matter should be negotiable. If everything goes smoothly, it is quite likely that WTI will stabilize below 100 dollars next week.

Of course, it is still too early to say that the war is definitely over and that oil prices will definitely come down. Even if the Strait of Hormuz is smooth and oil tankers resume transportation, it will take some time for oil prices to return below 80 dollars. This still depends on whether the U.S. does not create trouble regarding Iran's nuclear situation. Only if oil prices come down is there a possibility for U.S. inflation to ease, and the probability of recession will decrease.

In general, although the market is not worried that the U.S. and Iran will continue to fight, there are still many issues that will give Trump a headache: the succession of Walsh and the choices after succession, the U.S. attitude towards Cuba, the results of visits to China, even the mid-term elections, and tariffs. There are still many matters to deal with.

Returning to the data of Bitcoin, all current data is very stable. Although $BTC has once again failed to break through 80,000 dollars, there is no sign of panic among investors, and the overall sentiment remains good. Coming up is the weekend, and I hope that over the weekend Trump won’t engage in any trouble.

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