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The market has pulled back to a key support level, analyzing the rhythm between spot and future markets!

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大牛研习社
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7 hours ago
AI summarizes in 5 seconds.

In trading, most people repeatedly incur losses, and the core issue is being unable to hold on to profits.

When there is a slight unrealized profit, they panic and exit, only for the market to then start moving up, missing out on substantial trends.

The problem lies not in the market but in the lack of holding logic. There is a basis for entering, but leaving is based on emotions, turning good trades into losses.

Remember: Entry relies on skills, holding relies on abilities.

If you want to hold onto profits, there are three points: the entry point is right, the stop loss is relatively small; only trade with a clear trend, do not withstand fluctuations; plan for take profit and move stop loss in advance.

Trade according to rules, do not rely on mindset to stubbornly hold on.

Most people are obsessed with finding the perfect entry, yet do not understand that the key to widening the gap in trading is holding the right trades.

Learn to hold positions, and profits can steadily increase.

If you do not understand contract trading and just want to play with spot trading; planning to buy Bitcoin and Ethereum at low prices, and also considering quality stocks in the U.S. market, I sincerely offer a few practical suggestions:

1. At this stage, only observe and do not enter blindly. Patiently wait for Bitcoin to fall back to the 45,000 range, and gradually accumulate at different times;

2. Prepare for the worst-case scenario, reserve some idle funds, if Bitcoin drops to around 40,000, it can serve as a secondary buying point;

3. Temporarily stay away from all kinds of altcoins in the secondary market. Once Bitcoin begins a deep correction, altcoins will only follow under pressure, posing significant risks;

4. Current sentiment in the U.S. stock market is excessively enthusiastic. This year, there is a high probability of experiencing a round of approximately 10% phased pullback. Be sure to remain cautious and do not blindly chase highs.

The rhythm of this top-forming layout has been relatively smooth. Currently, Bitcoin has fallen back to the key support level of 79,000 on the 4-hour chart, with the following operation thoughts organized as follows:

If the 79,000 level can hold for multiple consecutive 4-hour periods without effectively breaking down, there is a high probability that the market will rebound, followed by a 3-4 week range consolidation at the high.

For short positions that are not long-term holds, consider taking profit and exiting at the current support level of 79,000; patiently wait for confirmation of the support breakdown before re-entering short positions. This incremental approach to entering and exiting is safer and can perfectly avoid missing out.

Conversely, if the 79,000 support ultimately breaks down, you can opportunistically add to your short positions. Remember, do not rush to add positions blindly before an effective breakdown occurs.

From the historical market trends, after a complete trend, both top and bottom often experience a process of consolidation at the top/bottom. The current high-level consolidation has only lasted a week, so the probability of directly breaking down in the short term is not particularly high.


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