1. Trump: The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz will continue until an agreement is reached with Iran

U.S. President Trump stated that the blockade measures in the Strait of Hormuz will continue until an agreement is reached with Iran.  -Original

2. U.S. Republicans promote the "ARMA Act" legislation to establish a national-level Bitcoin reserve

U.S. Republican lawmakers are pushing for the "ARMA Act" legislation, planning to establish a national-level Bitcoin reserve aimed at holding around 5% of the global circulating supply of Bitcoin in the long term. According to Bitcoin News, the Republicans hope to enhance the U.S. position in the global digital asset ecosystem through this move.  -Original

3. Spot gold rises 1% to $4552.92 per ounce, New York silver futures rise 2% to $77.77 per ounce

4. CME data: 67.9% chance of Federal Reserve rate hike this year, 42.5% chance of a cumulative 25 basis points hike

According to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until December is 32.1%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis points hike is 42.5%, the probability of a 50 basis points hike is 20.6%, the probability of a 75 basis points hike is 4.4%, and the probability of a 100 basis points hike is 0.4%.  -Original

5. Tom Lee: BitMine ETH holdings may incur a floating loss of up to $10.1 billion

According to Cointelegraph, as Ethereum continues to weaken, the floating loss on BitMine's ETH reserves, controlled by Tom Lee, has widened to about $7.35 billion. Analysts state that ETH is currently near the lower edge of a "rising wedge" bearish structure, and if it breaks below support, the price may drop to the $1600 region, a decline of about 25% from current levels. If this scenario occurs, based on BitMine's average holding cost of about $3513, the unrealized loss on their ETH holdings could expand to about $10.1 billion. Despite the increased floating loss, Tom Lee stated that he will persist with a long-term accumulation strategy, intending to hold 5% of Ethereum's total supply before December this year.  -Original

6. U.S.-Iran conflict raises U.S. Treasury yields to 4.58%, could increase fiscal interest expenses by $30 billion

According to the Financial Times, the U.S.-Iran conflict has driven up oil prices and inflation expectations, causing the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond to rise to 4.58%, higher than the 4.13% projected by the Congressional Budget Office. The 30-year Treasury yield has reached a new high since 2007. If the current yield remains until the end of the fiscal year, U.S. fiscal interest expenses could increase by about $8 billion; if maintained until the 2027 fiscal year, additional interest costs will exceed $30 billion. The market is concerned that rising oil prices and an expanding deficit will push up inflation, exacerbating Treasury sell-offs. Some investors on Wall Street believe that the Federal Reserve's response to inflation risks has been inadequate, and there are discussions about the possibility of the Treasury issuing ultra-short bonds or the Federal Reserve resuming "Operation Twist."  -Original

7. Mark Cuban: Bitcoin's decline during a surge in gold fails to reflect its anti-inflation properties

8. Kevin Hassett: Falling oil prices may create room for Federal Reserve rate cuts

 

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