💡 The iron-blooded Ronins of the crypto circle, tonight is destined to be an insomniac night that will go down in history!

At 2:00 AM Beijing time on June 18, the Federal Reserve will announce the FOMC interest rate decision and the dot plot, followed by the "debut" speech of the new key figure at the Fed, Warsh, at 2:30 AM.

Current price $65,700 - $66,000, Bitcoin has been stagnant all day with low volume, the 24-hour trading volume has shrunk by 22%, both long and short parties are holding their breath in an extremely stifling atmosphere——everyone is waiting for Warsh to speak! The current market consensus is extremely cold-blooded: who acts first will die first; tonight, whoever moves first loses!

Faced with such an extreme market environment where pinning up and down can directly wipe out 90% of gamblers, blindly guessing the direction is tantamount to sending oneself to the slaughter. Instead of being cannon fodder in leverage, it's better to cold-bloodedly execute Aster "Multiple Strategy Sub-accounts + 0 Fee Rate Chase Order Wall" to prepare for contingencies. Let Warsh finish his speech first, and when the market reveals its true direction, we will enter to harvest!

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🧱 1. Core Variable of Wall Street: Why is tonight's dot plot and "Warsh Style" a nuclear bomb-level blind box?

Although the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates is as high as 99.5% (essentially a sure thing), the real killer move lies in the following two epic uncertainties:

【Unprecedented Disagreement in Dot Plot】: In March, the Fed hinted that there could be a rate cut in 2026, but tonight it is highly likely to erase this guidance directly. Wall Street is completely in an uproar——PGIM predicts three more rate hikes this year, BNP Paribas predicts three hikes starting in December, while Citibank still stubbornly believes there could be a rate cut. This unprecedented disagreement means the dot plot, if slightly hawkish, will trigger a tsunami.

【Warsh Breaks 14-Year Tradition of "Debut" Suspense】: As a debut, Warsh might even directly break the past 14-year tradition by choosing not to submit a dot plot forecast! The market will either misinterpret it as "diminishing the hawkish turn" and surge, or it will interpret it as "hiding intense internal discussions" and plummet, with direction completely dictated by emotions.

【Dual Pressure of Macro and Micro】: On the micro side, chip stocks have collapsed across the board, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index plummeting 5.71%, and the AI trading logic showing signs of crowding fatigue, with funds rotating towards traditional blue-chip defensive sectors; on the ETF front, there was an intense turnover of new and old funds, with a net outflow of $64.84 million on June 16. Although the greed and fear index dropped to 23 (extreme fear zone), which often corresponds to a mid-term bottom, tonight's intraday spikes will not go easy.

🛠️ 2. Three Scenario Simulations and Cold-Blooded Response Plans

Since even Warsh himself might not have decided what to say, the smartest Ronin will not predict but will make contingency plans:

【Scenario A: Warsh is Doveish (Probability 15-20%)】

Market Performance: Dot plot unexpectedly retains rate cut hopes + Warsh makes a mild statement ➡️ BTC violently surges short-term to $68,000 - $70,000.

Aster Tactics: Never blindly chase the long! Closely monitor the market, and when upward momentum weakens and a pullback signal emerges, search for high points to gradually layout short positions.

【Scenario B: Neutral Communication (Probability 50%)】

Market Performance: Maintains interest rates + does not submit dot plot + ambiguous statement ➡️ BTC continues to dead fish oscillate in $64,000 - $67,000.

Aster Tactics: Completely stay put, continue to lock in main account profits, and wait for direction to clarify.

【Scenario C: Hawkish Shock (Probability 30-35%)】

Market Performance: Deletes rate cut hints + Warsh emphasizes stubborn inflation ➡️ Market votes with its feet, BTC plummets 3-5%, crazily tests $62,000 - $63,000.

Aster Tactics: Once it falls below the key line of $64,500 with increased volume ➡️ Lightning chase shorts, with a stop loss set at $65,800, targeting a solid lower watch of $63,000 - $62,000.

🏹 3. Strategy Implementation: 15 Sub-accounts for Distribution + Chase Order Radar, Control the Market Like This Tonight!

In response to the extreme market environment of sweeping trades up and down tonight, do not let your main position bear any liquidation risk. Immediately activate Aster's 【Sub-accounts】 and 【Chase Order】 sequence:

【Step 1: Lock Down Main Account Defense】: Main account assets remain unchanged, exchange instantly for native stablecoin USDF to lock in a 9.6% annualized no-risk interest rate, or deposit into NVDAB, TSLAB and other bStocks (maximum collateral ratio of 90%), building a solid defensive rear.

【Step 2: Create Independent Sub-Accounts to Execute Plans】: Seamlessly pull out 15 independent sub-accounts from the main account. Since the transfer of funds between sub-accounts is completely instant and 0 fees, you can allocate a small amount of pinning ammunition to “Sub-account A”, which is exclusively used for executing scenario C's short chase plan.

【Step 3: Open Chase Orders, Let Market Makers Guide You】: After Warsh's speech at 2:30 AM, when the market reveals its true direction, turn on Chase Order (chase order function) in the sub-accounts. Because it strictly operates based on Post-only (limit orders only) mode, it can automatically and instantly follow the optimal bid/ask prices in milliseconds. Not only do you not need to manually adjust prices frequently to chase orders, but since all transactions are done as a Maker (the one placing the order), your trading fees for opening orders tonight in the turbulent market will be directly 0!

💡 "90% of gamblers are currently betting on a one-sided gamble in tonight's blind box, and the result is likely that they will be wiped out by the 5-point fan market flow caused by the Fed and Warsh.

The smartest wolf chooses to stay still tonight. Let the dot plot land, let Warsh finish speaking, and let the market find its true direction in 15 minutes.

Tomorrow morning, if the dot plot deletes the rate cut guidance and Bitcoin volume breaks below $64,500, you can calmly enter the sub-accounts through the 10% rebate channel to protect your principal, and tomorrow morning, we will follow behind smart money to pick up money!

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