Super Central Bank Week is Coming｜The BTC Script is Written, the Rest is Up to Time
The market has recently entered a critical game stage.
According to Jinshi data, next week will usher in the "Super Central Bank Week," where the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, US GDP, core PCE data, and changes in geopolitical situations will become important variables affecting global assets.
Soaring energy prices, US tariff policies, and AI capital expenditure pressures are reigniting market concerns about inflation.
Crude oil is nearing $100, US Treasury yields continue to rise, the dollar is rebounding, and the US stock market's tech sector is under pressure.
The market is re-pricing:
Will high interest rates persist? Will rate cut expectations be delayed again? Is a new round of adjustments for risk assets approaching?
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Back to Bitcoin.
From a technical perspective, this round of BTC's rise started in the 61600 region.
After multiple confirmations of the bottom, the price has fluctuated upward, reaching a high of around 66900.
From the chart, it can be seen that BTC is still operating within an upward channel, with higher lows being established, and a distinct "higher low" structure forming on the 4-hour level.
This is also what Lao Jin has emphasized before:
As long as the trend is not broken, do not easily go against it.
However, the current market situation is not without pressure.
Around 66900, there is pressure, and the upper distance is just one step away from the previous high of 67250, with bulls and bears fighting for that key position.
Below, focus on:
64000 region.
This is both a trend support level and the boundary between bulls and bears.
Holding 64000 will continue the upward structure, and there is still an opportunity to challenge the previous high, even opening new space, looking at 66000-67000.
If it falls below 64000, one must guard against weakening market sentiment and a return to the 61600-61000 region.
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Ethereum is also at a critical position.
Recently, ETH has been like a compressed spring, with 1850 becoming the lifeline for bulls and bears.
In the context of rising real interest rates and increasing rate hike expectations, gold is still supported by safe-haven funds, indicating that the current market is not simply trading interest rates but is trading global risks.
If ETH holds 1850, there is still room for a rebound, looking at 1970-2000;
But if there is a black swan event in the news and it falls below the support, then the lower 1670 region will come back into view.
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The market next week is destined to be anything but calm.
The Federal Reserve's attitude, inflation data, and geopolitical conflicts will determine the short-term direction.
Lao Jin's view:
In a big trend, look at the structure; in a small cycle, look at the rhythm.
As long as BTC holds the upward trend, the mid-term view remains bullish;
But before the Super Central Bank Week, one must prepare a risk plan.
The market never gives everyone a chance; the real opportunity often arises when most people hesitate.
The script is already written, and the rest is up to the market to verify.
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