Today's Key News Summary

1. Macroeconomic: The Strait of Hormuz is confirmed to be open, evening Fed meeting minutes set the direction
Trump confirmed via a post that the Strait of Hormuz has fully resumed navigation, all mines have been cleared, and geopolitical risks are temporarily easing, while oil prices remain low and volatile, with marginal alleviation of inflation concerns. However, long-term U.S. Treasury yields continue to rise, with the 30-year yield reaching 5.34%, a new high since 2007, indirectly suppressing the valuation of risk assets.
At 2:00 AM Beijing time on Thursday, the Fed will release the minutes from the July monetary policy meeting, where the market will focus on officials' attitudes towards the interest rate hike path; this is the core macro catalyst for this week, and market volatility is likely to increase before and after the data release.

2. Capital: BTC ETF sees nearly $300 million inflow in a single day, the strongest inflow since May
On August 18, Eastern Time, U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs reported a net inflow of $297.6 million, marking the strongest single-day inflow since May 5, ending a streak of consecutive net outflows, signaling a return of institutional buying interest. Ethereum spot ETFs also recorded a net inflow of $30.85 million, while Solana spot ETFs continued a streak of seven weeks of net inflows, indicating solid institutional allocation intentions.

3. Sentiment and Liquidation: $243 million in leverage cleared, bottom signals gradually emerging
In the past 24 hours, approximately 64,700 traders across the entire market were liquidated, totaling about $243 million in liquidation, with a relatively balanced long-short liquidation ratio and a further return of leverage levels to neutral.
Institution VanEck's latest report indicates that 8 out of the 12 classic surrender signals for Bitcoin have been triggered, suggesting that the market is approaching a phase of bottom accumulation, with long-term allocation values gradually becoming evident, but short-term volatility still requires consolidation.

4. Regulation and Industry: Trump meets cryptocurrency giants, expectations for marginal regulatory improvement rising
Trump met with CEOs of leading companies in the cryptocurrency industry and the chairs of the SEC and CFTC at the White House to discuss the regulatory framework and development path of the cryptocurrency industry, raising market expectations for marginal regulatory improvement. Meanwhile, the SEC introduced a proposal for exemptions for innovative crypto assets, opening new paths for compliant financing for startups, with the industry's compliance process continuing to advance.
On-chain data shows that Ethereum whale addresses continue to accumulate and stake, with a single address's total holding exceeding 10,000 ETH, all locked up, demonstrating the confidence of long-term holders.

Mainstream Coin Strategies and Entry Points
The following is a technical analysis compilation for market opinion reference only and does not constitute any trading advice.

1. Bitcoin (BTC)
Market Qualitative Analysis: The 4-hour level is rising along the oscillation channel, re-establishing a position above the short-term moving average, MACD golden cross continues, short-term bullish momentum is repairing; the $65,000 integer mark serves as the core pressure point for the day, with dense stop-loss orders above, and the market is expected to maintain a range-bound oscillation before the evening meeting minutes, with a breakout requiring additional funds.

• Key Support:
◦ First Support: $63,500 – $63,700 (day's short-term support level, oscillation center)
◦ Strong Support: $62,800 – $63,000 (cut-off point for longs and shorts; breaking below disrupts the recovery rhythm)

• Key Resistance:
◦ First Resistance: $64,800 – $65,000 (integer mark + previous high transaction area)
◦ Strong Resistance: $65,500 – $65,700 (50-day moving average suppression + mid-term stop-loss area)

• Reference Ideas:
◦ If a pullback stabilizes in the $64,400–$63,600 range, consider small long positions with a stop loss below $63,000
◦ If a rebound approaches the $64,800–$65,000 range faces pressure, consider shorting with a stop loss above $65,500

◦ It is advised to reduce positions ahead of the evening meeting minutes to avoid heavily betting on a single direction, and to follow the trend after the data release.

2. Ethereum (ETH)
Market Qualitative Analysis: Stabilizing above the $1,900 integer mark, the 4-hour level oscillation center is gradually rising, with whale staking and ETF inflows providing fundamental support; the $1,930-$1,940 range acts as a suppression area by the 100-day moving average, and a breakthrough is expected to open up upward space; overall movement links to Bitcoin but exhibits stronger resilience.

• Key Support:
◦ First Support: $1,885 – $1,895 (day's short-term support level, integer mark turned support)
◦ Strong Support: $1,865 – $1,875 (cut-off for longs and shorts; breaking below returns to weak oscillation)

• Key Resistance:
◦ First Resistance: $1,930 – $1,940 (100-day moving average suppression)
◦ Strong Resistance: $1,955 – $1,965 (previous high transaction area)

• Reference Ideas:
◦ If a pullback stabilizes in the $1,880–$1,890 range, consider small long positions with a stop loss below $1,860
◦ If a rebound approaches the $1,930–$1,940 range faces pressure, consider shorting with a stop loss above $1,955

◦ If the volume effectively stabilizes above $1,940, consider following the trend towards $1,960.

3. Solana (SOL)
Market Qualitative Analysis: Stronger performance than the broader market, with effective confirmation of support near $75, continuous net inflows from ETFs and institutional reallocations provide support, and short-term rebound structure remains intact; the $78 area serves as a previous high transaction area, requiring market cooperation for a breakout; overall, the inclination is towards strong oscillation.

• Key Support:
◦ First Support: $75.8 – $76.2 (day's short-term support level)
◦ Strong Support: $74.8 – $75.2 (cut-off point for longs and shorts; breaking below returns to weakness)

• Key Resistance:
◦ First Resistance: $77.5 – $78.0 (near prior highs)
◦ Strong Resistance: $79.5 – $80.0 (mid-term transaction dense area)

• Reference Ideas:
◦ If a pullback stabilizes in the $75.5–$76.0 range, consider small long positions with a stop loss below $74.8
◦ If a rebound approaches the $77.5–$78.0 range faces pressure, consider shorting with a stop loss above $78.8

◦ A breakout above $78 could lead to a view towards $80; breaking below $74.8 should lead to avoidance.
Operational Supplement Reminders

1. The early morning Fed meeting minutes are a significant macro event, with high market uncertainty and volatility likely to amplify; it is advisable to substantially reduce positions and implement strict stop losses before the data is released to avoid betting heavily on a single outcome.
2. Key in-day observation variables: the U.S. Dollar Index and U.S. Treasury Yield trends, pre-market performance linked to U.S. stocks, and fund movements before and after the meeting minutes are released.

免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。