The initial unemployment claims will be released tonight, fluctuating during the day, and looking for direction in the evening.

Tonight at 20:30, the market will receive the U.S. initial unemployment claims data.

Previous value: 206,000, expected: 208,000.

Before the data is released, Lao Jin believes that the market will likely primarily fluctuate throughout the day. During this phase, there is room for both upward and downward movement, but the space will not be too large; the real direction choice is more worthy of attention after tonight's data is released.

So today during the day, the thought process is very simple:

Do not chase rises, do not panic sell, wait for low positions.

So what is considered a low position?

Focus on the 77,000—77,500 area; if it can return here, Lao Jin believes it is a comfortable low buy position.

If the market sharply drops, even piercing into the vicinity of 76,600, then the betting value at this position will be higher.

Why?

Because at present, it is not about guessing how the market moves every minute, but waiting for a relatively cost-effective position to participate in the subsequent market movements.

The evening is the key.

If the data performs positively, market sentiment will be further released, and if BTC can stabilize around 77,000, then continue to pay attention to 80,000, 80,200.

Even if there is a short-term pullback after the data is released, as long as the overall structure is not broken, Lao Jin still believes that the pullback is more about finding opportunities again rather than blind panic.

So today Lao Jin has one sentence:

Wait for positions during the day, wait for direction at night.

The market will not finish early just because you are anxious.

The opportunities that truly belong to you are often those that are waited for.

Stabilize your mindset, maintain your rhythm, and when the position arrives, opportunities will naturally come.

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