Good evening everyone, I am the new Yan. The positions given for Ethereum at 9.2 in the evening are all divergence points, including 2380 and 2405. Even if an aggressive short position was entered early, the divergence point can be supplemented, and it can be taken out at the confrontation point, while the middle digestion zone still offers short-term opportunities. However, as directional players, we cannot easily gamble on such short-term moves, otherwise, we might miss out on larger spaces.

To emphasize again, during the directional game process, when we are against the trend, any time we hit the replenishment zone, we must reduce our position at the new average price to minimize disadvantages. When we return to the replenishment zone, we reduce at the new average price again, and the second replenishment becomes a new replenishment, while the stop loss converts to the second replenishment, and the new stop loss is moved up a sequence. This way, we can ensure that we are not against the trend. Different sequences are areas of competitive confrontation, and it’s easy to have a chance to withdraw. Even if the directional bet is wrong in the end, losses are minimized, and if the directional bet is correct, a reversal is the worst outcome.

Looking at the structure, the three sells seem very similar. In terms of details, the Bitcoin price around 77800 is tightly controlled, suppressed below 77800 from 10 a.m. to 2 p.m. In the afternoon, around three o'clock, the bulls attempted a false break and spiked around 78200. This operation can easily disrupt the structure and change the trend. In the future market, as a confrontation area, it will be tested repeatedly.

The four-hour MACD histogram line has turned positive, the daily line shows a dead cross, and the fifteen-minute and one-hour structures are homogenized. Different levels are mutually exclusive, and the current one-hour EMA 120 and 144 are both around 77800. This one-hour rebound has damaged 77800, and if it stabilizes, even if the market does not reverse, it is enough to shake off and digest for a week or a half month.

There are three possibilities for the future market:
First, the rebound extends to test the second sell, then makes a new one-hour pullback.

Second, the end of the rebound, after the new one-hour range digestion, determines the direction, and overall it is also in the four-hour oscillation range.

Third, it is just a false break, a trap for the bulls. After a brief digestion, it continues to fall at the four-hour level.

For Bitcoin, pay attention to 78800, 79500, 80500 above
Below, pay attention to 77500, 76500, 75400
For Ethereum, pay attention to 2445, 2485, 2520
Below, pay attention to 2380, 2320, 2265

The current average price is expected around 77800 and 2405
Supplement according to the sequence, reduce at the new average price, mainly short
Conservatively, short at 78800, 2445, and supplement in the lower sequence
Consider betting on a rebound at 75400, with a 600-point loss
For Ethereum, consider 2350, 2280, with a 20-point loss

As for gold, today's shorts were still a bit early
Entering and exiting in the morning, the afternoon average price is around 4440, currently can supplement at 4470, and cut positions at the 4500 whole number. The target is still looking towards the next test downwards. Just a brief rebound, don’t be afraid, losses exchanged for a relatively advantageous average price, it’s worth it. Don’t let a rebound mess with your strategy.

Stay synchronized, follow the public account: Yan Talks Chan

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