The situation over the weekend was quite normal, nothing unusual happened. The focus for next week will be Thursday's PPI and Friday's CPI data, especially the CPI data which has a strong guiding effect on the market's speculation about the Federal Reserve in September. Although I think the Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise interest rates unless there is a significant increase in inflation, the market is indeed still worried.
Yesterday I mentioned that I would not rashly attempt to catch the bottom before the dot plot appears. Even the bitcoin:native dual currency will maintain a downward space of about 5%. The main concern is whether the Fed's voting committee will give Trump a warning during the September meeting. This possibility exists, and it can scare the market without adjusting interest rates.
If there is still no clear trend between the U.S. and Iran before the meeting, or if Iran temporarily does not intend to open shipping lanes to some countries, then the increase in inflation in September will inevitably impact the Federal Reserve. In this case, should the market tighten a bit before waiting for the midterm? I'm not sure, but if it happens, it won't be good.
However, let's get through next Friday's hurdle first. If Friday's data shows that inflation has already begun to rise, then the market will likely start to panic in advance. Therefore, I will be more cautious with the dual currency next week, especially needing to avoid the CPI data.
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